TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will FURIA win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,938 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0564…ce95backed Yes6c9,384$536 inLost-$536.053941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,204$15 inLost-$15.4140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes4c4,280$163 inLost-$162.8614332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c4,036$114 inLost-$114.051,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes3c2,550$82 inLost-$82.411910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Yes6c2,226$141 inLost-$141.363551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes2c1,313$31 inLost-$31120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes7c729.78$51 inLost-$51.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Yes3c588.24$20 inLost-$207732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes5c566.62$26 inLost-$26.364223.8%10 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes3c525.01$15 inLost-$153743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes3c499.99$14 inLost-$1414820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba9d…cc30backed Yes4c421.08$15 inLost-$15.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes4c262$11 inLost-$10.632030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost-$10.3224943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2756…783cbacked Yes8c197.37$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes8c153$12 inLost-$11.6215747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.