CS2 · resolved market

Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc15371800e5acee45cbaa13204da671104c52b2d0f7af1ef035e7959aada2060

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,529 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes	31c	6,400$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,967.87	298	51.3%153 W · 145 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…390fbacked Yes	30c	3,286$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.05	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Yes	20c	2,980$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.38	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes	10c	2,897$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.57	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Yes	13c	2,852$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.94	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Yes	22c	2,317$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.93	458	48.5%222 W · 236 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes	31c	2,062$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.83	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…b48cbacked Yes	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes	22c	2,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	153	20.9%32 W · 121 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	78c	1,444$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.68	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+3.9wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	14c	1,416$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.28	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	24c	1,381$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331	131	46.6%61 W · 70 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	72c	1,168$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.77	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	1,133$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.15	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Yes	15c	1,128$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.02	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed No	75c	933.33$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.33	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…5761backed Yes	13c	876.22$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Yes	10c	768$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	13c	644$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.78	295	47.8%141 W · 154 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes	13c	642.16$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.4	81	37%30 W · 51 L	-6.9wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No	80c	629$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.48	137	40.9%56 W · 81 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes	14c	600$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes	15c	539.97$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.47	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes	36c	513.27$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.42	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca0…d2a9backed Yes	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2756…783cbacked Yes	23c	444.53$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ca…849dbacked Yes	22c	409.64$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No	79c	402$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.51	601	47.4%285 W · 316 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afb…82a9backed Yes	24c	380.11$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd965…dad1backed Yes	21c	333.49$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes	18c	333.3$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	378	51.9%196 W · 182 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ec…000bbacked Yes	14c	317.11$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.1	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1c…76e9backed Yes	25c	316$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes	14c	299.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	252	43.3%109 W · 143 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	19c	296.2$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.88	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No	77c	295.33$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.07	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x088c…3f3ebacked Yes	17c	293$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe35b…cc5dbacked Yes	20c	280.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42f…5bf7backed Yes	38c	270.86$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	123	28.5%35 W · 88 L	-9.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc203…ffb8backed Yes	14c	249.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd47d…6befbacked Yes	16c	248.72$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	12c	241.6$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes	18c	236.7$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.13	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Yes	12c	225$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes	11c	225$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes	14c	212.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No	76c	201.08$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	1,146	49.4%566 W · 580 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb79…def9backed Yes	15c	198.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-75%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Yes	18c	156.22$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc85…4d43backed Yes	19c	154.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0e…9607backed Yes	22c	151.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b3…82dbbacked Yes	11c	150.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x347a…02babacked Yes	32c	150.01$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed Yes	12c	134.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes	35c	122.42$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54dd…e72abacked Yes	15c	120.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe175…c9e4backed Yes	17c	118.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes	12c	112.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29b…e025backed Yes	15c	102.49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes	21c	101.53$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fa…77ecbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Yes	23c	96.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d23…341dbacked Yes	21c	83.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…697cbacked Yes	23c	78.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…2eacbacked Yes	14c	72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc56…e7e1backed Yes	29c	68.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No	76c	66.45$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94e7…6cd3backed Yes	23c	65.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…3e65backed No	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c5…f7c6backed Yes	25c	49.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eed…59cfbacked Yes	31c	35.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	72c	17.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	646	52.8%341 W · 305 L	+26.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?this page
Will 3DMAX win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will Aurora win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will FURIA win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will FaZe win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will Falcons win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will G2 win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will Legacy win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will Liquid win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will Lynn Vision win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will Virtus.pro win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentYes won
Will paiN win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event