TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will paiN win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,709 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f2…4e69backed Yes3c19,479$580 inLost-$579.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c2…29f9backed Yes1c11,000$75 inLost-$75616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c8,777$65 inLost-$65.461,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes1c8,579$50 inLost-$49.566144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes5c5,284$257 inLost-$256.8416033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes3c4,674$128 inLost-$128.161910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…91f9backed Yes1c3,081$19 inLost-$19.4380%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c2,788$28 inLost-$27.9814332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Yes1c2,654$36 inLost-$35.852133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes3c2,633$71 inLost-$71.3938037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…3653backed Yes1c2,500$23 inLost-$22.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…1a96backed Yes1c1,737$12 inLost-$11.59742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes5c1,704$86 inLost-$86.072025%5 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes2c1,293$26 inLost-$25.84120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8584…5761backed Yes5c999.98$50 inLost-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e28…c008backed Yes7c824.51$54 inLost-$54.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes2c768.67$13 inLost-$13.354223.8%10 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes2c750$15 inLost-$14.678629.1%25 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Yes5c633$32 inLost-$31.763941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked Yes3c495.2$12 inLost-$12.384949%24 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dd…b9b1backed Yes6c443.89$26 inLost-$26.4150%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb389…e7ecbacked Yes2c426.26$10 inLost-$10.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes6c360.16$20 inLost-$2052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Yes7c300$21 inLost-$20.887040%28 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…b63cbacked Yes6c266.11$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca0e…64f7backed Yes8c263.23$20 inLost-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d2…04e4backed Yes5c196.79$10 inLost-$10.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.