Lol · resolved market
MSI Playoffs: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuest
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef3202d56fffd5086bfcf93d2babe00c096080f69f2ef572faa45c079a2777a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof G2 Esports, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked FlyQuest | 55c | 38,156$20,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,353.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed G2 Esports | 48c | 33,685$16,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,168.75 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed G2 Esports | 25c | 25,549$6,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,340.32 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…d2b9backed G2 Esports | 13c | 22,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…c9efbacked G2 Esports | 13c | 12,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed G2 Esports | 48c | 7,928$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.67 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed FlyQuest | 52c | 5,207$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 Esports | 33c | 2,645$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.76 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed FlyQuest | 73c | 2,500$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.82 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked G2 Esports | 45c | 2,091$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.11 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked FlyQuest | 54c | 1,936$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.55 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed FlyQuest | 80c | 1,839$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.8 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FlyQuest | 54c | 1,744$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.95 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed G2 Esports | 40c | 1,670$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed G2 Esports | 12c | 1,561$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6591backed FlyQuest | 58c | 1,392$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked FlyQuest | 70c | 1,381$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…7e35backed G2 Esports | 12c | 917.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 900.74$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.91 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed G2 Esports | 15c | 861.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…54c7backed FlyQuest | 58c | 832$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FlyQuest | 50c | 777.24$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.62 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FlyQuest | 54c | 637.58$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked G2 Esports | 42c | 595.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.62 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed G2 Esports | 11c | 594.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked FlyQuest | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FlyQuest | 78c | 436.74$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked FlyQuest | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed FlyQuest | 55c | 408$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…40dcbacked G2 Esports | 30c | 400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked FlyQuest | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed G2 Esports | 47c | 365.4$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed FlyQuest | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed G2 Esports | 33c | 306.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…ff6cbacked G2 Esports | 28c | 265.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…3b2abacked FlyQuest | 55c | 255$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…e1cdbacked G2 Esports | 12c | 246.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…3acfbacked G2 Esports | 26c | 232.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…0061backed FlyQuest | 63c | 230$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…9a51backed FlyQuest | 64c | 221.31$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed G2 Esports | 28c | 210.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed G2 Esports | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…ee3cbacked G2 Esports | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed FlyQuest | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed G2 Esports | 31c | 178.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FlyQuest | 52c | 167$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 162.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed G2 Esports | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 Esports | 23c | 143$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…0bd3backed G2 Esports | 23c | 139.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 186 | 40.3%75 W · 111 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…c828backed FlyQuest | 70c | 136.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…66b8backed FlyQuest | 74c | 111$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed G2 Esports | 24c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…a32fbacked G2 Esports | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…7829backed FlyQuest | 50c | 101.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…76f3backed FlyQuest | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed FlyQuest | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…25c0backed G2 Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed G2 Esports | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed FlyQuest | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed G2 Esports | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…6743backed G2 Esports | 46c | 77.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…16e9backed FlyQuest | 54c | 66.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5a18backed G2 Esports | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +98%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed G2 Esports | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed G2 Esports | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed G2 Esports | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed FlyQuest | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked G2 Esports | 38c | 37.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed FlyQuest | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed G2 Esports | 43c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…610abacked FlyQuest | 54c | 27.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked G2 Esports | 44c | 27.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed G2 Esports | 46c | 26.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 207 | 58.5%121 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed FlyQuest | 52c | 22.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed FlyQuest | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.