World Politics · resolved market
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6555b5131ee445684a35121d480d7fa4f04e64d0a9022965dc5045567658420d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Yes | 49c | 22,376$10,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,976.92 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 35c | 21,642$7,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,503.2 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 0c | 19,520$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…ce37backed Yes | 52c | 16,130$8,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,430.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 46c | 13,038$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.89 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,886$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ded…4c43backed Yes | 2c | 10,252$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…2d56backed Yes | 53c | 10,235$5,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,396.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 78c | 8,747$6,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,848.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 6c | 7,556$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.82 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 59c | 6,645$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.6 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…c8d5backed Yes | 39c | 6,510$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…eacbbacked Yes | 49c | 5,932$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ca…cd42backed Yes | 14c | 5,736$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…f157backed Yes | 66c | 5,404$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 68cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed Yes | 57c | 4,939$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.33 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 3c | 4,654$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 15c | 3,940$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.36 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 61c | 3,924$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…f3c8backed Yes | 4c | 3,878$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 54c | 3,735$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe8…4a57backed Yes | 56c | 3,562$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 51c | 3,538$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.7 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 41c | 3,182$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.11 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 25c | 3,120$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.38 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 3,027$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.05 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 50c | 2,791$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.74 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 31c | 2,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…475dbacked Yes | 62c | 2,408$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 42c | 2,407$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 43c | 2,397$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.27 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 41c | 2,321$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.6 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 66c | 2,254$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.19 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…1015backed Yes | 21c | 2,200$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 33c | 2,192$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.05 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,106$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…01c0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.12 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…7c34backed Yes | 1c | 1,845$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 52c | 1,830$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,821$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 44c | 1,796$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.62 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…919dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,756$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 1c | 1,747$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 40c | 1,667$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.7 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…54c7backed Yes | 41c | 1,665$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 77c | 1,553$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.33 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 23c | 1,546$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.42 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 74c | 1,485$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.6 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0407…e5c7backed Yes | 53c | 1,439$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 48c | 1,423$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 61c | 1,358$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.8 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5d…3deabacked No | 47c | 1,222$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 63c | 1,221$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.42 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…8dc8backed Yes | 41c | 1,209$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.9 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 17c | 1,190$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,172$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…86dcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed No | 48c | 1,154$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked Yes | 65c | 1,138$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a8…ba8dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,135$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 70c | 1,110$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 51c | 1,069$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 62c | 987.26$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 38c | 963.74$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.02 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…f9a3backed Yes | 57c | 961.65$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x543a…f2cfbacked No | 27c | 878$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 862.85$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.43 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes | 15c | 824.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…6957backed No | 52c | 822.22$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…2a77backed Yes | 12c | 784.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 52c | 761.55$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa91c…69a3backed No | 37c | 750$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…013fbacked Yes | 63c | 750$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 35c | 683.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.37 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…e090backed No | 30c | 670$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…174abacked Yes | 70c | 670$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked Yes | 72c | 650.77$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 52c | 646.7$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.1 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…49f4backed Yes | 49c | 640.14$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…304ebacked Yes | 51c | 621.55$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…44c5backed Yes | 2c | 610.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +112%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 36c | 594.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.36 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 65c | 584.67$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.73 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 59c | 564.02$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.42 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 557.37$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 36c | 555$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 65c | 514.02$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…e17ebacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes | 61c | 480$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 49c | 479.17$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?this page
- Will The New Lion win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will another party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Alternative 2020 win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Brotherhood and Unity in Politics win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Democracy and Development through Unity win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Democratic Alternative '91 win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the General Liberation and Development Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?Yes won
- Will the National Party of Suriname win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Pertjajah Luhur win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Reform and Renewal Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Surinamese Labour Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.