TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$474,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa56…f232backed Yes49c22,376$10,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,976.92110%0 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes35c21,642$7,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,503.219027.9%53 W · 137 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf371…9812backed Yes0c19,520$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.73619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb38…ce37backed Yes52c16,130$8,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,430.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes46c13,038$5,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,979.893348.5%16 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.19per pick30cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes1c11,886$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.024513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ded…4c43backed Yes2c10,252$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.93714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…2d56backed Yes53c10,235$5,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,396.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc288…edb1backed Yes78c8,747$6,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,848.21020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes6c7,556$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.8238023.9%91 W · 289 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x501f…f746backed Yes59c6,645$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.68726.4%23 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+258.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f3…c8d5backed Yes39c6,510$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a27…eacbbacked Yes49c5,932$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ca…cd42backed Yes14c5,736$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.37837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5e…f157backed Yes66c5,404$3,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,548.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick68cpaid-61.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x641e…aeb7backed Yes57c4,939$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.332722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes3c4,654$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.619627.1%26 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes15c3,940$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.3625337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes61c3,924$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.652339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fc…f3c8backed Yes4c3,878$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.751346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No54c3,735$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.251233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe8…4a57backed Yes56c3,562$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Yes51c3,538$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.77533.3%25 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes41c3,182$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.119345.2%42 W · 51 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes25c3,120$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.3810331.1%32 W · 71 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No40c3,027$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.0557636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Yes50c2,791$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.748529.4%25 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes31c2,581$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011850.8%60 W · 58 L+29.2wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+132.4%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x0655…475dbacked Yes62c2,408$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed Yes42c2,407$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006434.4%22 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No43c2,397$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.2719957.3%114 W · 85 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No41c2,321$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.619043.7%83 W · 107 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes66c2,254$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.192955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc358…1015backed Yes21c2,200$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.33732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes33c2,192$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.057932.9%26 W · 53 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes1c2,106$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2945723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c6…01c0backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102025%5 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No48c1,856$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.127650%38 W · 38 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf78e…7c34backed Yes1c1,845$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Yes52c1,830$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.541625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c1,821$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.266883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked No44c1,796$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.626038.3%23 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…919dbacked Yes52c1,756$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Yes1c1,747$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.954327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+189.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked No40c1,667$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.75135.3%18 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d5…54c7backed Yes41c1,665$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed Yes77c1,553$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.333228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-49.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked No23c1,546$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.425149%25 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75f…edafbacked Yes42c1,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6253540%14 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8259750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc781…59d7backed Yes74c1,485$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.62814.3%4 W · 24 L-7.2wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-69.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0407…e5c7backed Yes53c1,439$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Yes48c1,423$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.391533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes61c1,358$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.815230.3%46 W · 106 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc5d…3deabacked No47c1,222$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes63c1,221$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.4213413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaec…8dc8backed Yes41c1,209$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.92222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed Yes26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes17c1,190$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.23519.8%5 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+93.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes64c1,172$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-78.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0750…86dcbacked Yes9c1,158$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…13d1backed No48c1,154$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.6825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked Yes65c1,138$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a8…ba8dbacked Yes44c1,135$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes70c1,110$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.63351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes6c1,100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.56836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed Yes51c1,069$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.193928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes62c987.26$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No38c963.74$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.028838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe2…f9a3backed Yes57c961.65$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x543a…f2cfbacked No27c878$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.722240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No42c862.85$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.431,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes15c824.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…6957backed No52c822.22$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+95.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55dc…2a77backed Yes12c784.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.271729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed Yes52c761.55$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3992642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa91c…69a3backed No37c750$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x054a…013fbacked Yes63c750$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No35c683.65$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.3727828.1%78 W · 200 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e3…e090backed No30c670$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5fc…174abacked Yes70c670$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f3…3dadbacked Yes72c650.77$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes52c646.7$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.112920.9%27 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x638a…49f4backed Yes49c640.14$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-78.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc435…304ebacked Yes51c621.55$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.241030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc9…44c5backed Yes2c610.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick38cpaid+112%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Yes57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3424334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No36c594.54$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3688448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes65c584.67$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7314033.6%47 W · 93 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No59c564.02$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.424365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No66c557.37$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.011,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No36c555$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.216744.3%74 W · 93 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No65c514.02$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.134250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f83…e17ebacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.361741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed No39c499.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.986439.1%25 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes61c480$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…bccebacked No49c479.17$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.531822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.