World Politics · resolved market
Will the National Party of Suriname win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53de318004727c7db77eb14772e6511abac0d2f2b8f21f07a67549714aec37ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 1c | 29,336$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 0c | 12,960$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 2c | 11,142$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 0c | 9,230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 9,157$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 6,584$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,275$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 0c | 3,214$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,611$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 1c | 1,360$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 1c | 1,182$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 2c | 970.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 813.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 8c | 370$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…216fbacked Yes | 7c | 272$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…d24abacked Yes | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the National Party of Suriname win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?this page
- Will The New Lion win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will another party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Alternative 2020 win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Brotherhood and Unity in Politics win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Democracy and Development through Unity win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Democratic Alternative '91 win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the General Liberation and Development Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?Yes won
- Will the Pertjajah Luhur win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Reform and Renewal Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
- Will the Surinamese Labour Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.