TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$607,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$712,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5a38…2904backed Yes55c30,959$17,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,931.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe346…82abbacked No45c30,959$13,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,931.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes33c21,483$7,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,417.7425337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes48c17,400$8,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,067.110928.4%31 W · 78 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes40c16,507$6,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,958.0410122.8%23 W · 78 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf371…9812backed No1c15,996$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.983619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed Yes57c14,200$8,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,082.671656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes55c12,136$6,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.733348.5%16 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.19per pick30cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No45c11,758$5,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,265.1219027.9%53 W · 137 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Yes53c10,082$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.22055%11 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No61c8,053$4,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,942.052339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe8…4a57backed Yes62c6,379$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Yes77c5,321$4,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.947533.3%25 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.99887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.61per pick27cpaid+216.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Yes28c4,617$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.984623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a27…eacbbacked No52c4,519$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes40c4,066$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.615135.3%18 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No1c3,827$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.866883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Yes51c3,368$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.858529.4%25 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes32c3,316$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.9516744.3%74 W · 93 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes70c3,258$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.510331.1%32 W · 71 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No74c3,107$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.3457636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x501f…f746backed Yes43c2,939$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.868726.4%23 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+258.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes48c2,894$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.466038.3%23 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes63c2,756$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.247932.9%26 W · 53 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked No1c2,568$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.334513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes50c2,550$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.58138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed No57c2,354$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.773928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba3…83debacked No1c2,251$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No1c2,106$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2138023.9%91 W · 289 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes50c2,000$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.862045%9 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c67…13d1backed No62c1,997$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc5d…3deabacked No59c1,960$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…1cb2backed Yes46c1,830$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.172240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8341…de89backed Yes26c1,824$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.122931%9 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No68c1,824$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.71450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f62…d7b0backed No54c1,706$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6115…2a89backed No61c1,693$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.212245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaec…8dc8backed Yes44c1,674$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.552222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes45c1,607$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.953551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes55c1,598$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1113525.2%34 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No40c1,560$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62411850.8%60 W · 58 L+29.2wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+132.4%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9009750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes52c1,500$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes35c1,497$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.1213413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes39c1,492$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.5818036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Yes42c1,477$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.662846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No14c1,443$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5345723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes43c1,370$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.13351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes41c1,354$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.9915230.3%46 W · 106 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes76c1,311$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.69966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed Yes23c1,240$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.643724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed No1c1,200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+189.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes43c1,200$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6829627.1%26 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes38c1,188$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.078838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2b92backed No36c1,147$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed Yes32c1,143$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.966439.1%25 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No43c1,084$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.344318.6%8 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0d8…f752backed Yes43c1,080$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6152070%14 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.34per pick36cpaid+110.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Yes56c1,045$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.93850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes36c1,035$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.2588448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1a…2dc9backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Yes52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No44c985.07$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.481233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes24c972.32$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.018440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed No58c968.85$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.754134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes29c918.08$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.8924736.8%91 W · 156 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes53c917.88$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.643243.1%186 W · 246 L+29.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes36c843.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.846021.7%13 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes51c770.83$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.811855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5cf…ea6cbacked Yes65c761.22$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8b…46b0backed Yes79c719.73$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No48c708.28$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.224755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…5553backed Yes45c679.17$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.283447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x638a…49f4backed Yes50c656.94$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.941711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-78.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No34c651$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.841,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5730…284dbacked No60c650$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe2…f9a3backed Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc980…ef3dbacked Yes32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ab…69d4backed Yes33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4021100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb39e…292dbacked No68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa072…5353backed Yes38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3722030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x897a…b17ebacked No68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4082352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4d…a15bbacked No67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes41c594.5$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.9228430.3%86 W · 198 L+0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x404e…5724backed Yes33c590$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+155.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd514…5353backed No67c590$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…6957backed No52c583.51$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+95.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c49…0144backed Yes42c580$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…3141backed No58c580$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f83…e17ebacked Yes34c500$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.491741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed Yes60c495$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1986149.2%30 W · 31 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+90%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5f70…90d9backed Yes46c465$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes61c458.6$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55dc…2a77backed No8c453.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.961729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes37c450$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.49423.4%22 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bc…33c6backed Yes45c427.57$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.574052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f33…b313backed Yes46c415$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes38c406$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.044540%18 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.