TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1032…77f1backed Yes1c45,449$435 inLost-$434.654119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes0c43,336$140 inLost-$140.4921740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked Yes1c29,544$414 inLost-$413.625311.3%6 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c8,175$82 inLost-$81.6289810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes1c7,102$91 inLost-$90.5922336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…1979backed Yes2c6,625$113 inLost-$1132450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes0c6,160$27 inLost-$2710616%17 W · 89 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c6,027$24 inLost-$23.8640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Yes2c4,868$100 inLost-$10016439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes1c4,825$34 inLost-$33.567439.2%29 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fb…6741backed Yes0c4,532$14 inLost-$14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c4,176$25 inLost-$25.27140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Yes3c3,645$100 inLost-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…8ce9backed Yes5c3,127$151 inLost-$151.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Yes1c2,911$31 inLost-$31.0313121.4%28 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d5…54c7backed Yes1c2,608$37 inLost-$36.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Yes1c2,010$14 inLost-$14.0829758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e98…ae0fbacked Yes2c2,000$34 inLost-$3412152.1%63 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec2…cb66backed Yes2c1,682$34 inLost-$33.642850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21b…894ebacked Yes2c1,640$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes1c1,475$21 inLost-$20.7512022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Yes2c1,456$34 inLost-$33.685547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7428…aaf2backed Yes2c1,277$30 inLost-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes3c879.3$22 inLost-$221546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.