TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will FlyQuest win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6902…678cbacked Yes0c51,260$168 inLost-$167.55728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick13cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Yes1c50,000$340 inLost-$3404119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa9…ee90backed Yes1c33,866$169 inLost-$169.33520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes1c30,000$260 inLost-$26021740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes1c15,913$159 inLost-$158.682,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes2c10,368$179 inLost-$179.2132350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes1c10,190$92 inLost-$91.513,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes1c9,999$87 inLost-$86.9410616%17 W · 89 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Yes1c9,552$107 inLost-$107.1816828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes1c9,000$108 inLost-$1087444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c6,001$62 inLost-$61.689810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72c…4b39backed Yes0c6,000$24 inLost-$241421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-62.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes1c4,960$49 inLost-$48.5522336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a0…5f52backed Yes1c3,239$26 inLost-$25.912722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb04…1a5ebacked Yes2c2,605$40 inLost-$4050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f9…2d70backed Yes1c2,067$30 inLost-$301225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270a…7b78backed Yes1c1,597$16 inLost-$16.1960%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ad…2663backed Yes1c1,583$16 inLost-$16.471338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes1c1,556$16 inLost-$15.5536433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Yes2c1,424$32 inLost-$31.6113121.4%28 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be8…76f3backed Yes1c1,388$15 inLost-$14.65633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes1c994.78$13 inLost-$12.8750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c930.37$10 inLost-$10.05140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Yes3c526.74$14 inLost-$13.9113345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1681…7a03backed Yes3c444.26$14 inLost-$13.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.