Lol · resolved market
Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf45d627e09b910b429bf00c9006bae4f5f3b42e787b6e6b27f544946c61dfa3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 13c | 59,478$7,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,477.7 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Yes | 3c | 18,532$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.9 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…5f52backed Yes | 2c | 12,166$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,911$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 4c | 10,692$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.92 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Yes | 3c | 10,093$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.19 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes | 13c | 9,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 7c | 8,996$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.92 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 7c | 7,111$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 13c | 4,596$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.52 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Yes | 4c | 4,378$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 4c | 4,091$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 13c | 3,800$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…3845backed Yes | 12c | 3,046$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,479$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…e803backed Yes | 3c | 2,459$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed Yes | 2c | 1,885$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,627$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…4f53backed Yes | 3c | 1,173$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,027$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 13c | 999.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Yes | 10c | 982.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…1da1backed Yes | 3c | 971.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes | 10c | 899.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 3c | 863.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…8533backed Yes | 22c | 821.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…b7dabacked Yes | 4c | 813.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Yes | 6c | 801.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes | 3c | 679.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 676.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…2663backed Yes | 14c | 451.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Yes | 5c | 400.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 3c | 363$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 11c | 308.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 4c | 292.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…213bbacked Yes | 20c | 243.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…d56fbacked Yes | 5c | 237.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 13c | 200.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…f1f0backed Yes | 13c | 191.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…7472backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 15c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 11c | 131.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfd…f3b9backed Yes | 15c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…c10abacked Yes | 14c | 124.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…fdbbbacked Yes | 16c | 123.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…6789backed Yes | 17c | 116.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…f720backed Yes | 18c | 113.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…0e94backed Yes | 14c | 99.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…a278backed Yes | 21c | 97.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…a353backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?this page
- Will Anyone's Legend win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
- Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
- Will FURIA win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
- Will FlyQuest win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
- Will G2 Esports win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
- Will GAM Esports win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
- Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?Yes won
- Will Movistar KOI win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
- Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.