TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$851,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$826,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $851,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x467e…e2edbacked Yes41c155,152$64,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,070.031010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed No63c107,410$67,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,868.536433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No59c82,901$49,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,666.6511650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b0…be26backed Yes50c58,508$29,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,253.82268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Yes62c49,582$30,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,561.739020%18 W · 72 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes25c48,216$11,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,903.7523447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Yes23c11,000$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Yes26c10,049$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.236566.2%43 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes36c9,961$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb960…b8a1backed Yes39c9,052$3,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No58c8,902$5,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,730.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Yes37c8,757$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,197.951,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes45c8,245$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.371,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes52c7,259$3,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,764.5928746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes42c7,247$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.3411452.6%60 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes37c6,811$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.0713151.1%67 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes24c5,944$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.811926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No50c5,681$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.016245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes41c5,481$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.027230.6%22 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes36c5,453$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.935435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes23c5,402$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.8132350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed No64c5,012$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.393366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Yes49c5,010$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.724339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6505311.3%6 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked No64c4,653$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.0516439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaba9…a356backed Yes58c4,468$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.911566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Yes41c4,165$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.4610949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ae…be8abacked Yes26c4,084$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes35c4,000$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.7717561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes46c3,967$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.7740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes28c3,938$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0999047.8%43 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No45c3,666$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.48922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Yes23c3,538$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.544119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x552c…7427backed Yes53c3,517$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed Yes33c3,500$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.388769%60 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Yes30c3,359$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016236.4%59 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes28c3,314$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.2922336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes29c3,236$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.0726940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes27c2,771$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.7679653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…faadbacked Yes51c2,735$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Yes31c2,630$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.725044%22 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed No64c2,602$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.882673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes31c2,449$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.112443.5%54 W · 70 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes34c2,381$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.5360053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed No45c2,267$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Yes34c2,239$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9629758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes37c2,226$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6dd…c9efbacked Yes20c2,206$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.211250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf68…a25ebacked Yes36c2,079$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes62c2,040$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.291,13663.1%717 W · 419 L+51.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes28c2,039$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.5526360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes38c2,000$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7641540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes23c1,958$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1813063.8%83 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac31…9ac0backed Yes26c1,951$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Yes64c1,896$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.279466%62 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec2…cb66backed Yes40c1,836$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.292850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45a8…85b6backed Yes9c1,836$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.94616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e54…6109backed Yes2c1,723$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…998bbacked Yes59c1,692$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.462075%15 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d44…c828backed Yes34c1,665$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.162450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…f1d3backed Yes34c1,637$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59d…df22backed Yes26c1,631$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa165…1305backed Yes37c1,629$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+672.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Yes49c1,627$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.4144470%311 W · 133 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x804a…6c38backed Yes42c1,611$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.465135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d6…8b36backed Yes20c1,511$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.22065%13 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+56.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30be…3925backed Yes43c1,499$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f3…2fd0backed Yes7c1,451$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Yes56c1,368$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76025952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9647…c18abacked Yes54c1,328$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Yes43c1,284$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.963026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes36c1,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.095957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed No64c1,244$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.721,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…a7abbacked Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes41c1,217$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8751852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Yes45c1,206$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.6712361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd3…717fbacked Yes29c1,205$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Yes28c1,202$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.357557.3%43 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…d851backed Yes40c1,174$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.61833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes67c1,164$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.617755.9%99 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a8…f5c1backed Yes50c1,157$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb217…5617backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fa…0a56backed No40c1,143$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.121353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65f7…86ddbacked Yes46c1,132$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.693333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd74…62ebbacked Yes37c1,126$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a4…fbc3backed Yes36c1,126$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.21080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes38c1,104$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.551154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Yes44c1,085$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.255547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa98…4cfbbacked Yes42c1,081$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No34c1,063$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.5848448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a46…6200backed Yes21c1,061$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes63c1,052$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66275630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca4…8ba6backed Yes46c1,027$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d96…17c3backed Yes31c1,020$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.841428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x756f…5bc2backed Yes41c1,005$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011838.1%45 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1750569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.