Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65db0b1ae01a5430da10926a40fedfb049ec1ddb273c3385a2c49b14b3f1e170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,299,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,979,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,299,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Yes | 37c | 148,746$55,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,508.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 7c | 90,984$6,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.37 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…099fbacked No | 49c | 82,392$40,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,799.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 26c | 70,414$18,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,445.91 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 23c | 52,202$12,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,009.61 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 9c | 47,080$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.31 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 25c | 38,623$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.65 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 22c | 30,347$6,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,667.98 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…555fbacked No | 60c | 26,877$16,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…d8a4backed Yes | 40c | 26,877$10,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 12c | 25,992$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 4c | 23,907$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 39c | 23,298$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 23c | 22,898$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 14c | 21,902$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa130…b662backed Yes | 3c | 21,378$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 26c | 19,010$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed Yes | 2c | 18,679$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 30c | 17,885$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 16c | 17,738$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 11c | 16,604$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 28c | 15,265$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 25c | 14,847$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 29c | 14,406$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.13 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 42c | 14,294$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 13c | 14,009$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.86 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed No | 73c | 13,718$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked Yes | 11c | 13,242$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 68c | 13,051$8,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,892.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 13c | 12,410$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.42 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 20c | 12,133$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 7c | 11,778$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.06 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 77c | 11,659$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 24c | 10,287$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 14c | 9,964$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.14 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 21c | 9,207$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 7c | 8,806$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 37c | 8,575$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 49c | 8,180$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 72c | 7,277$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.06 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…7049backed Yes | 3c | 7,082$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 32c | 6,989$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 26c | 6,588$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…12dabacked Yes | 12c | 6,447$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 24c | 6,203$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44c…9541backed Yes | 4c | 5,562$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed Yes | 6c | 5,402$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 5,322$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.67 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 26c | 5,317$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Yes | 23c | 5,162$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 16c | 5,075$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.37 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…6d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 5,030$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…d13cbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 5c | 4,965$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Yes | 9c | 4,899$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 20c | 4,756$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 14c | 4,231$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.42 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 4c | 4,132$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…7810backed Yes | 19c | 4,056$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 70c | 4,000$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 74c | 3,902$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…02ffbacked Yes | 9c | 3,773$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 65c | 3,766$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 9c | 3,732$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.74 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 26c | 3,578$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 54c | 3,433$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…0a21backed No | 29c | 3,399$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 10c | 3,333$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 34c | 3,193$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 66c | 3,045$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.47 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 73c | 2,930$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.68 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 15c | 2,895$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 52c | 2,879$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.07 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…37ebbacked Yes | 12c | 2,811$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 22c | 2,796$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.05 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,736$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 2,730$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.59 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Yes | 4c | 2,676$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 50c | 2,645$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 14c | 2,643$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed Yes | 1c | 2,580$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 8c | 2,560$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 75c | 2,536$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…f0e4backed Yes | 20c | 2,524$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 13c | 2,496$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked No | 43c | 2,454$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…b06ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,436$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 26c | 2,426$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…ad1ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,407$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 5c | 2,401$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 14c | 2,390$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked Yes | 23c | 2,389$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 65c | 2,374$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…57b7backed Yes | 3c | 2,346$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…9842backed Yes | 33c | 2,337$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked Yes | 11c | 2,325$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.