World Politics · resolved market
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8a58fbff19479adec1e3f4111bb5622398e5b5ef3cf0c611a41cc234c6f8ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,019,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,119,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,019,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 7c | 504,817$33,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,177.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 34,170$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.21 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 27,012$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…285fbacked Yes | 13c | 24,424$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebd…cb20backed Yes | 6c | 15,922$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…5708backed Yes | 1c | 12,964$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 10c | 12,895$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.23 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…53bebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9c…1814backed Yes | 12c | 8,376$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 20c | 8,041$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…87ccbacked Yes | 0c | 6,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…e1bfbacked Yes | 5c | 5,998$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…f62ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,421$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…e943backed Yes | 13c | 5,384$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.8 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4646…2af5backed Yes | 4c | 5,205$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 4,994$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 17c | 4,570$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.88 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…7e1cbacked Yes | 9c | 4,366$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…edc3backed Yes | 32c | 4,267$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1905…45dbbacked Yes | 27c | 4,108$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,037$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 15c | 3,982$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…40f8backed Yes | 7c | 3,257$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,152$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.41 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…9eddbacked Yes | 2c | 2,975$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 16c | 2,644$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…38efbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 2,451$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 22c | 2,371$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 2,200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…68a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,135$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…ea5dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,113$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…c280backed Yes | 15c | 2,040$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…1dc6backed Yes | 20c | 2,017$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…483abacked Yes | 2c | 1,906$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…2b96backed Yes | 24c | 1,880$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…7462backed Yes | 9c | 1,800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,612$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 15c | 1,606$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.61 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…bc5bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…b966backed Yes | 1c | 1,564$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 7c | 1,556$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f2…3e56backed Yes | 21c | 1,555$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…4a4abacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…75d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,482$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…54c7backed Yes | 23c | 1,474$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 5c | 1,394$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 18c | 1,294$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 15c | 1,235$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6803…2a05backed Yes | 2c | 1,221$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…a66cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,220$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…9c03backed Yes | 21c | 1,212$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…a90fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…01a8backed Yes | 10c | 1,128$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…98d9backed Yes | 18c | 1,110$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,100$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,028$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…0a3abacked Yes | 5c | 1,023$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…5de7backed Yes | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…0054backed Yes | 11c | 969.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…84a5backed Yes | 21c | 961.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 955.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…12b5backed Yes | 10c | 944.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 21c | 933.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ce…4c39backed Yes | 6c | 917$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes | 8c | 893$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 866.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…a388backed Yes | 3c | 852.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…e101backed Yes | 18c | 808.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…be4ebacked Yes | 19c | 796.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…67b3backed Yes | 2c | 780$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 746.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 21c | 740$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…c9c0backed Yes | 21c | 720.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes | 11c | 710$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…9dfbbacked Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 78c | 700$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…18e1backed Yes | 4c | 683$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…229dbacked Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Yes | 24c | 673.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…7862backed Yes | 15c | 650$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Yes | 23c | 644.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 21c | 627.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 623.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…1d3ebacked Yes | 20c | 618.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…697bbacked Yes | 33c | 607.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 601.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 11c | 601.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…5aacbacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…6333backed Yes | 18c | 552.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…9806backed Yes | 5c | 551.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…f26dbacked Yes | 19c | 535.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…babbbacked Yes | 19c | 526.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…d004backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.