World Politics · resolved market
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b3f2c188a692ab2a83f84783a74703357516e7c656e42cfbb6ed1da247dd3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,211,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,211,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2031…2325backed Yes | 1c | 108,103$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…12b4backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…c5aabacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…9fdbbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…103bbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…69fbbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…6c55backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…2f6fbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…fd17backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…69dcbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…abc8backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4f…46e3backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…2e04backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…9004backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78d…44bfbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…8910backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…739dbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…4081backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…9918backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…ebddbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6024…d4d2backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…4e9fbacked Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…fd20backed Yes | 0c | 38,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…713ebacked Yes | 0c | 38,797$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…d606backed Yes | 0c | 38,722$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…f8a2backed Yes | 0c | 38,697$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…dfc1backed Yes | 0c | 38,499$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…7190backed Yes | 0c | 38,170$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 38,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4972…1e07backed Yes | 0c | 37,034$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…5c49backed Yes | 0c | 36,344$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed Yes | 0c | 36,264$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a8…722dbacked Yes | 0c | 35,190$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…2c26backed Yes | 0c | 29,321$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 29,102$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…4af0backed Yes | 0c | 28,862$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…1969backed Yes | 0c | 28,826$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…16f6backed Yes | 0c | 28,113$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…9487backed Yes | 0c | 27,748$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…e19cbacked Yes | 0c | 27,214$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…4165backed Yes | 0c | 26,969$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…556cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…4230backed Yes | 0c | 25,081$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d9…b7c0backed Yes | 0c | 24,006$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…d781backed Yes | 0c | 22,668$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…a83dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,004$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59bf…fb27backed Yes | 0c | 20,935$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…52eebacked Yes | 0c | 18,143$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…ad8ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,690$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4220…9906backed Yes | 0c | 17,229$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…4ac2backed Yes | 0c | 15,963$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 14,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…2b12backed Yes | 0c | 14,422$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…8aa8backed Yes | 0c | 13,555$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6918backed Yes | 0c | 13,005$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 0c | 12,059$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,681$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…e120backed Yes | 0c | 6,536$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,510$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…e130backed Yes | 1c | 1,543$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.