TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,567,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,567,152 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd334…58ffbacked Yes0c192,176$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d7d6backed Yes0c192,176$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed95…1309backed Yes0c106,764$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529c…42f2backed Yes0c106,764$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes0c69,845$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.894221.4%9 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bf1…6d22backed Yes0c37,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c33,424$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.215132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b6…67c6backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f5…7bbbbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3d…317cbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…1cb7backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…9117backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6187…decdbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de0…9001backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2a…2769backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1303…125ebacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae22…b257backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c4…a83dbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9116…ea94backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fc…14ebbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf200…67debacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bc…3c8abacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e58…8877backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7321…15eabacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd122…b9d3backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0a…a70cbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fad…a637backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ea…a23dbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b55…eababacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbc…e403backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb637…baccbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…cb47backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94c…4316backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec87…f933backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b10…ccbdbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe3…5b60backed Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a8…e1bdbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6c…e68fbacked Yes0c32,552$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488c…01ebbacked Yes0c29,345$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef6…9c67backed Yes0c26,430$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434e…54a5backed Yes0c26,040$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6588…206dbacked Yes0c23,680$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…2f16backed Yes0c22,930$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c21,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes2c19,844$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.973528.6%10 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9faf…373bbacked Yes0c19,570$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42d…a415backed Yes0c18,690$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c18,027$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.994521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1641…a101backed Yes0c17,570$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6085…c87bbacked Yes0c17,317$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1acb…f8ccbacked Yes0c16,070$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2e…13b1backed Yes0c15,990$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c15,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51018.9%9 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick8cpaid+115.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea4d…c654backed Yes0c14,835$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…faadbacked Yes0c14,517$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.611520%3 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+742.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c01…2ecbbacked Yes0c14,340$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2381…007cbacked Yes0c12,433$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c10,443$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.114121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…db66backed Yes1c9,610$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0c…cae1backed Yes0c7,400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e6…b7acbacked Yes1c5,793$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.81526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbb…4461backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108321.7%18 W · 65 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-50.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03f…ec6abacked Yes1c4,407$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c3…2783backed Yes1c4,319$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.422817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick11cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x561b…0a5fbacked Yes0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick14cpaid-10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes1c2,494$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22519.8%5 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+93.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…4fe9backed Yes5c2,299$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.031216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes1c2,169$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.952939.2%27 W · 266 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd822…697bbacked Yes5c2,166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7930…8226backed Yes2c2,078$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+156.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb289…a997backed Yes1c2,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1690%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes2c1,659$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.316883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd8…9806backed Yes5c855.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402025%5 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c8…79ecbacked Yes3c747.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fef…5053backed Yes2c683.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Yes3c645.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf1…3a8dbacked Yes3c533.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.