World Politics · resolved market
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40ccfa556630ab2202f19086f58bb2c0f4b5c563f7fbf575168744505f14dc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,791,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,791,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x310b…67a8backed Yes | 4c | 46,733$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…a8d9backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb6…5ae2backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…63c4backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…63edbacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…d8e0backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30f…6208backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…4253backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…1b76backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf832…ff2cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…53a5backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1795…68a6backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…ac68backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ba…49a2backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…eb79backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc659…21acbacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…d077backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…c12fbacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…849dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1397backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…985dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…505abacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…ac20backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…0cbabacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…787cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…1343backed Yes | 0c | 31,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…4fb3backed Yes | 0c | 30,365$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…868abacked Yes | 0c | 28,978$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…486cbacked Yes | 0c | 28,244$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…78e6backed Yes | 0c | 28,138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 27,640$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…b93ebacked Yes | 0c | 27,578$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…5fbbbacked Yes | 4c | 25,597$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…c42fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,184$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed Yes | 0c | 19,962$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…b561backed Yes | 0c | 19,643$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…7953backed Yes | 0c | 18,673$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…b253backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…66b8backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…6912backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…aeaebacked Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbb…22b3backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…9124backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…00aebacked Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…9acfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…67c4backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…8746backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…6cbcbacked Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…2a22backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…8406backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…a3f0backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725c…daf8backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f17…7e8bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…8bf3backed Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c11…471abacked Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…48debacked Yes | 0c | 17,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…7778backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…6ccabacked Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…c723backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…34f7backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b047backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…b72ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…345abacked Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…2567backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…3907backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…2d09backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…ed47backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…c512backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8176…8a19backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…f9a2backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…3688backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…6076backed Yes | 0c | 17,826$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…7fb6backed Yes | 0c | 16,928$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…9a35backed Yes | 0c | 16,664$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…65e6backed Yes | 4c | 16,403$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…8591backed Yes | 0c | 16,360$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…0e54backed Yes | 0c | 16,173$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf894…37eabacked Yes | 0c | 15,940$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee52…eb4bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,849$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…e943backed Yes | 3c | 15,055$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…e3babacked Yes | 0c | 14,852$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…398dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,422$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…a9f7backed Yes | 0c | 13,439$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…84e2backed Yes | 0c | 12,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…874bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,343$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…b35fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,939$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…86b6backed Yes | 0c | 11,930$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…1cfabacked Yes | 0c | 11,920$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…3412backed Yes | 0c | 11,920$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…8362backed Yes | 0c | 11,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459d…b8d5backed Yes | 0c | 11,810$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…0eb2backed Yes | 0c | 11,696$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…a418backed Yes | 0c | 11,560$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74b…c81ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,456$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…98a5backed Yes | 0c | 11,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…53acbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…b759backed Yes | 0c | 10,207$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,507$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 9,187$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.51 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.