TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Swiatekof Swiatek, Tauson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Swiatek76c57,742$43,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,884.3211230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tauson25c23,164$5,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,902.528043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Swiatek76c22,888$17,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,437.942263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Swiatek77c16,486$12,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.243641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Tauson25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.9912231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tauson23c14,800$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.6839144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Tauson23c13,735$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.729652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tauson25c10,857$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.469137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Tauson22c9,350$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.9513934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Tauson26c7,815$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.952844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Swiatek76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Tauson23c5,322$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.442152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Swiatek76c4,420$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.956376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Swiatek74c3,200$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.9915452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Swiatek67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.0728443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Tauson24c2,349$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.7695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Swiatek74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0357649.5%285 W · 291 L-32.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tauson30c1,984$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.842317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Tauson27c1,507$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3926039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Swiatek78c1,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33013253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Swiatek71c1,421$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.923655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Swiatek73c1,399$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7717867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Tauson12c1,100$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3411927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tauson23c1,087$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0862742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Swiatek74c1,040$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.46271%44 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Swiatek72c975.43$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.1212038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Swiatek77c954.65$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.154450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tauson25c817.17$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Swiatek75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf909…2b17backed Swiatek75c725.75$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Swiatek74c601$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2613245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Tauson24c577.58$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.232131.2%100 W · 221 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Tauson25c546.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8632141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Swiatek76c500$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11962952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Tauson25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Tauson21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Tauson26c438.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.396832.4%22 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Tauson24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tauson24c400.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.071,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Swiatek75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Tauson25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Tauson23c399.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tauson26c386$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tauson26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Swiatek69c381.35$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.155052%26 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbda7…fc55backed Swiatek68c380$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9262…4978backed Swiatek79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Tauson23c334.01$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.825540%22 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Swiatek74c330$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.812954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac6…f6eabacked Tauson26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tauson24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x666b…2b83backed Swiatek74c300$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd10…f4bcbacked Tauson41c294.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Tauson23c294.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.643537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Swiatek74c271.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.823447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Tauson24c271$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.137943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Swiatek75c269.19$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tauson30c250$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.251,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Swiatek75c247.67$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.925757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Swiatek77c246.5$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.823969.9%167 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Tauson27c246.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3814456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Tauson26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605332.1%17 W · 36 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcace…f2f6backed Tauson22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d22…302abacked Swiatek68c216.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.421675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Swiatek73c208.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1615961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Tauson25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b4a…0f97backed Swiatek75c198.23$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Tauson26c194$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4447639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Swiatek77c190.91$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.916949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9c…0fe6backed Swiatek74c175.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.322166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Tauson38c173.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.816035%21 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Swiatek70c173$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.971,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1578…fa2cbacked Swiatek77c166.17$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.221478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Swiatek63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7313844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Tauson32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tauson24c146.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2949632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6359…f32fbacked Swiatek75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Swiatek75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3318839.9%75 W · 113 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e1…9c10backed Swiatek75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337061.4%43 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Swiatek77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8751342.9%220 W · 293 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Swiatek77c129.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6932161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Swiatek75c127$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.254242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tauson26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Tauson25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Tauson25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Tauson43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4391050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Tauson25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Swiatek78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Tauson26c97.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255819%11 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2847…5439backed Tauson24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Swiatek71c80.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3913864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf9…bfd1backed Swiatek77c79.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tauson23c77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.714599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Swiatek75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6717767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab2…e698backed Swiatek75c66.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c06backed Swiatek76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e41…6faebacked Tauson23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2570%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Tauson25c59.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked Tauson40c57.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.122030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7732…fa11backed Tauson23c55.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.873540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.