Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea beat Esperance Sportive?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b167e11f1cfa7684287ffc8230cb1ed82a42ddc1ee93111dd4d37080d1f3a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 29c | 25,567$7,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,425.7 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…2a3ebacked Yes | 76c | 8,080$6,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 73c | 7,688$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 70c | 6,842$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 25c | 6,334$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.8 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 23c | 4,603$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.89 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 73c | 4,499$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.36 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 74c | 4,028$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Yes | 79c | 3,584$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 17c | 2,290$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.75 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 24c | 2,050$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…6f4dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 26c | 1,752$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.51 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,350$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 21c | 965.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…5e37backed Yes | 78c | 932.62$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 72c | 851.18$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 65c | 725.92$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 70c | 663$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 22c | 659.51$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 32c | 585.88$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed No | 28c | 584.22$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 17c | 512.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 77c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed No | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 24c | 399.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…0d3fbacked Yes | 77c | 390.34$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 22c | 390$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…3408backed Yes | 71c | 370.42$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 22c | 356$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 24c | 344.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3282…7716backed Yes | 72c | 334.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…633bbacked Yes | 72c | 328$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 73c | 325.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 21c | 291.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 78c | 242.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 26c | 235.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Yes | 75c | 216$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…23f1backed Yes | 77c | 200.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 63c | 197$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 195$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…82fabacked Yes | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 22c | 160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…5256backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 76c | 144.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 76c | 128$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…6b39backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Yes | 75c | 119.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…ac5abacked Yes | 71c | 109.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 101.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327e…86fabacked Yes | 71c | 101.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 79c | 82.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…500abacked Yes | 78c | 79.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 73c | 77.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b9…e58fbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked No | 26c | 63.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 74c | 60.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…7bb5backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 25c | 43.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…e20fbacked Yes | 73c | 40.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Yes | 73c | 36.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 31c | 34.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 74c | 34.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 76c | 32.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 75c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…0dd4backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0066backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…ea23backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…1efebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa062…123abacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea beat Esperance Sportive?this page
- Will Esperance Sportive beat Chelsea?No won
- Will Esperance Sportive vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.