La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e5721afb668c9bbfb5b3883104fa56dbf6392824123cc1685ee2ca2ab642dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Yes | 16c | 2,990$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 2,688$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.69 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 4c | 2,035$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 23c | 1,006$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 37c | 910.69$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 817.29$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 63c | 715.78$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 41c | 710$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 28c | 677.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 55c | 649.95$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 66c | 639.09$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 18c | 614.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 56c | 534.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 54c | 515.24$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 71c | 513.61$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 77c | 461.23$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 44c | 366.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 56c | 345.89$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 79c | 328.28$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 293$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 42c | 238.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…d1eabacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 46c | 206.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 45c | 173.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 43c | 132.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 76c | 119.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 42c | 103.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 47c | 80.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 20c | 80.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 68c | 78.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 54c | 74.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 58c | 71.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 45c | 68.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 54c | 64.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7355backed Yes | 46c | 64.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Yes | 41c | 60.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…e63dbacked Yes | 48c | 52.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…b9bebacked Yes | 46c | 52.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 54c | 51.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…1f22backed Yes | 46c | 51.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…b66cbacked No | 56c | 49.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…46d7backed No | 56c | 48.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…7255backed Yes | 45c | 48.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…e347backed No | 55c | 46.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…1be9backed No | 56c | 44.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…0533backed Yes | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…1a4ebacked No | 56c | 42.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…92dbbacked Yes | 45c | 39.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…4011backed Yes | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 35c | 33.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…0300backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked No | 56c | 17.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-25?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-08-25?Yes won
- Will Sevilla vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.