La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla vs. Getafe end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7396aa51f74d86880f8559069e47f6330f8041f97138137daebebc3ccc5216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 946.02$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 13c | 797.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 20c | 694.6$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed Yes | 29c | 475.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 22c | 474$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 31c | 373$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 68c | 340.36$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed Yes | 32c | 323.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 70c | 303.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 256.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 41c | 182.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 31c | 147.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 30c | 141.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Yes | 32c | 124.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 27c | 110.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 36c | 100.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 72c | 93.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 68c | 77.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 69c | 74.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 32c | 62.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 30c | 50.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 44c | 45.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 32c | 38.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 29c | 37.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…564ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 69c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla vs. Getafe end in a draw?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-08-25?Yes won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.