Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda469b50770caacc6d2e9f74e4b5b81d072e7c8874d2fb2191d8dc51c3b56065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 49c | 213,990$104,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,141.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 51c | 73,466$37,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,478.91 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 51c | 53,801$27,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,438.46 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 26,196$17,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,814.13 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 16,974$7,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,535.65 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 49c | 7,573$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 50c | 7,200$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 49c | 6,465$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.07 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…2017backed Yes | 56c | 6,267$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 49c | 6,050$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 4,846$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.2 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 4,823$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.04 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 9c | 4,674$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.73 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 53c | 4,207$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 51c | 3,006$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.89 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 26c | 2,922$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 14c | 2,592$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 33c | 2,290$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.55 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 54c | 2,070$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.06 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…0d7ebacked No | 54c | 1,851$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…e835backed Yes | 48c | 1,850$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…da76backed Yes | 48c | 1,824$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed No | 54c | 1,824$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…c867backed Yes | 48c | 1,813$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked No | 53c | 1,812$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…d53fbacked No | 54c | 1,804$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…85afbacked Yes | 49c | 1,802$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 18c | 1,619$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 1,422$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.02 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed No | 54c | 1,241$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed No | 25c | 1,209$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 30c | 1,126$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed No | 37c | 1,074$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 22c | 1,014$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 55c | 1,008$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 38c | 1,007$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.6 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 31c | 999.77$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 50c | 995.76$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 22c | 939.36$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 66c | 910.32$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.25 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 34c | 899.96$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 866.67$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 43c | 790.27$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 34c | 785.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.18 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 51c | 777.25$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 53c | 775.27$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 43c | 700$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 52c | 684.74$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 35c | 673.13$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…d383backed Yes | 47c | 631.91$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 46c | 620$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 52c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 33c | 555.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 68c | 551.65$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 14c | 500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 499.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 480.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 55c | 430.46$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 34c | 419.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked No | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 54c | 374$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 48c | 339.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 50c | 332.04$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…0ffebacked No | 54c | 331.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 15c | 329.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 46c | 322.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 42c | 321.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 33c | 305$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 40c | 301.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 65c | 292.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 26c | 268.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 36c | 236.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 44c | 228.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed No | 50c | 227.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 224$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…db7fbacked Yes | 48c | 208.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 200.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016d…12babacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 42c | 176.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 46c | 163.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 56c | 159.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.