Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d0ad210e75e9f2b6dcc5ad765f83a33939f932197089ef591dd7c3be448b1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 23c | 109,361$25,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,222 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 77c | 94,045$72,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,647.61 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 23c | 86,867$20,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,366.06 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 77c | 72,466$55,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,860.83 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 17,342$13,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.1 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 77c | 14,292$10,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.09 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 23c | 9,500$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 75c | 8,696$6,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…2017backed Yes | 26c | 7,815$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 77c | 7,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 5,480$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 19c | 4,397$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,050$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 3,743$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.64 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 75c | 2,868$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 17c | 2,857$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 14c | 2,096$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 2,028$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.22 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 1,930$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,707$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 24c | 1,241$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 78c | 1,015$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.38 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 13c | 953.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 23c | 893$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…91dabacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 13c | 847.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 22c | 759.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 682.17$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 26c | 680$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 5c | 655$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 78c | 608.97$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 17c | 572.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed Yes | 23c | 543.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 19c | 535.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 23c | 460.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a90…51b8backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…ee3ebacked Yes | 12c | 424$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 73c | 417.14$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 25c | 400.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Yes | 23c | 391.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5607…995dbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed Yes | 19c | 371.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 13c | 369.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…3db9backed Yes | 5c | 349.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 26c | 333.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…a5d3backed Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 12c | 316.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 72c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 15c | 272.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 24c | 264.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 27c | 252$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes | 14c | 250.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…b038backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 76c | 247.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…e74fbacked Yes | 26c | 240.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 26c | 230.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…d2dcbacked Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 228.25$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016d…12babacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…9750backed Yes | 13c | 214.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 75c | 206$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 72c | 200.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 16c | 182.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 178$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 20c | 156$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 28c | 152.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…f8b9backed Yes | 21c | 141.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 29c | 139.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 30c | 134.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 25c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 25c | 117.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc9…3192backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…ca5ebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…7ff5backed Yes | 22c | 112.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.