Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c89b8259aecd2f12ef3681f0d2a676c3a026dac0715f145a32d3ad0f207ad3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelsea of Benfica, Chelsea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Benfica | 38c | 60,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.98 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Chelsea | 62c | 30,422$18,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,425.37 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Chelsea | 63c | 28,862$18,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,751.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Chelsea | 63c | 17,894$11,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,687.76 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Benfica | 39c | 14,689$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.68 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Benfica | 37c | 10,117$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.18 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Chelsea | 61c | 9,275$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.23 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chelsea | 61c | 8,744$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.53 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Chelsea | 61c | 7,804$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.54 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Benfica | 40c | 7,700$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.15 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Benfica | 25c | 7,482$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.49 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Benfica | 40c | 6,868$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.23 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Benfica | 41c | 6,517$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Benfica | 40c | 6,350$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.67 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Chelsea | 60c | 6,000$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chelsea | 62c | 5,308$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.24 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Chelsea | 61c | 5,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Chelsea | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…2846backed Benfica | 39c | 4,803$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chelsea | 67c | 3,437$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.09 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Chelsea | 63c | 3,392$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.82 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Chelsea | 73c | 2,870$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.44 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Benfica | 39c | 2,218$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.34 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Benfica | 29c | 2,078$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.23 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Chelsea | 61c | 2,040$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.66 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Benfica | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Chelsea | 67c | 1,604$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.22 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Benfica | 38c | 1,473$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.22 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Benfica | 33c | 1,386$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.35 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Benfica | 10c | 1,359$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Chelsea | 69c | 1,358$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed Benfica | 35c | 1,263$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1072backed Chelsea | 77c | 1,217$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Benfica | 42c | 1,154$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.96 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Benfica | 42c | 1,093$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Chelsea | 59c | 1,091$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.33 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Chelsea | 61c | 1,032$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Benfica | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Benfica | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Chelsea | 67c | 970.88$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.05 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…40c9backed Benfica | 42c | 888.29$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Benfica | 38c | 885.42$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.46 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Benfica | 37c | 807.78$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Chelsea | 60c | 789.48$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.26 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…76e6backed Benfica | 39c | 780$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…b6cebacked Chelsea | 63c | 767$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Benfica | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…b2febacked Benfica | 41c | 699.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…d4cbbacked Benfica | 40c | 673.08$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Benfica | 31c | 652.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Chelsea | 61c | 600$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…3408backed Chelsea | 62c | 525.81$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Benfica | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Chelsea | 62c | 498.89$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.49 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…4446backed Chelsea | 60c | 492.87$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Chelsea | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bd85backed Chelsea | 61c | 490$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Chelsea | 62c | 483$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Benfica | 41c | 482$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Benfica | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Benfica | 42c | 475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Chelsea | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Benfica | 27c | 436.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Chelsea | 60c | 431$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Benfica | 26c | 430.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Chelsea | 63c | 416.25$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Chelsea | 61c | 396.25$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…2dccbacked Chelsea | 61c | 395$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed Chelsea | 65c | 393.14$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Chelsea | 68c | 391.61$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Benfica | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Chelsea | 66c | 371.44$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Chelsea | 65c | 363.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Chelsea | 60c | 351.11$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Chelsea | 61c | 314.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Chelsea | 64c | 313.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Chelsea | 65c | 310.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Chelsea | 66c | 302.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Chelsea | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Chelsea | 59c | 296.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Chelsea | 63c | 280$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Chelsea | 64c | 268.31$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Benfica | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Chelsea | 62c | 257$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Benfica | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Chelsea | 60c | 252$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Chelsea | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Benfica | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Chelsea | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…f91bbacked Chelsea | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Benfica | 31c | 233$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Chelsea | 61c | 233$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Chelsea | 61c | 226.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Benfica | 35c | 225.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…a3b4backed Benfica | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…7ebbbacked Benfica | 41c | 217.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Benfica | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Benfica | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…9c45backed Chelsea | 67c | 193.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Benfica | 13c | 187.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.