Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065ef66fa78badddcad0fcf65b664453093b2b6d398e4f29f30076e977cdbefb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSGof PSG, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,048,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,117,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,048,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Real Madrid | 46c | 209,999$96,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,599.65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Real Madrid | 1c | 120,000$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked PSG | 56c | 93,469$52,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,701.86 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Real Madrid | 44c | 91,346$40,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,552.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed PSG | 57c | 57,032$32,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,246.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed PSG | 56c | 54,278$30,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,996.86 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed PSG | 55c | 45,988$25,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,525.38 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed PSG | 54c | 39,683$21,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,254.21 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked PSG | 59c | 36,125$21,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,635.41 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Real Madrid | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,049.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Real Madrid | 43c | 29,466$12,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,712.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…bf68backed Real Madrid | 41c | 24,421$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked PSG | 54c | 21,694$11,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,906.07 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Real Madrid | 47c | 21,041$9,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,889.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…d345backed Real Madrid | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…2ecabacked PSG | 54c | 13,257$7,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,098.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed PSG | 54c | 12,000$6,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked PSG | 68c | 11,000$7,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked PSG | 54c | 10,666$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.42 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked PSG | 63c | 10,573$6,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…4e28backed Real Madrid | 40c | 10,106$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Real Madrid | 43c | 10,043$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.08 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Real Madrid | 47c | 8,542$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked PSG | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Real Madrid | 40c | 7,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…95e1backed Real Madrid | 1c | 6,833$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked PSG | 54c | 6,615$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.93 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Real Madrid | 47c | 5,551$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Real Madrid | 1c | 5,297$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Real Madrid | 0c | 5,274$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked PSG | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked PSG | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed PSG | 55c | 4,794$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Real Madrid | 45c | 4,273$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.93 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…f770backed Real Madrid | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked PSG | 54c | 3,967$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.5 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked PSG | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed PSG | 54c | 3,073$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.82 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked PSG | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.98 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed PSG | 60c | 2,700$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed PSG | 54c | 2,574$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Real Madrid | 3c | 2,529$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Real Madrid | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Real Madrid | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Real Madrid | 9c | 2,252$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Real Madrid | 3c | 2,247$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf979…09aebacked PSG | 54c | 2,189$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Real Madrid | 3c | 2,186$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Real Madrid | 4c | 2,066$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Real Madrid | 44c | 2,048$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.32 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed PSG | 53c | 2,030$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.01 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Real Madrid | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed PSG | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619c…fe90backed PSG | 54c | 1,981$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Real Madrid | 8c | 1,886$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…476dbacked PSG | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed PSG | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Real Madrid | 43c | 1,837$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed PSG | 59c | 1,701$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Real Madrid | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked PSG | 54c | 1,570$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.19 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed PSG | 56c | 1,500$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.6 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…1bdfbacked Real Madrid | 1c | 1,496$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…c308backed Real Madrid | 13c | 1,467$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Real Madrid | 3c | 1,447$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked PSG | 55c | 1,442$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed PSG | 70c | 1,399$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.33 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a455backed PSG | 61c | 1,336$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked PSG | 53c | 1,309$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Real Madrid | 1c | 1,289$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…ef98backed Real Madrid | 3c | 1,284$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Real Madrid | 9c | 1,280$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked PSG | 59c | 1,260$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…8ad9backed PSG | 54c | 1,260$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…16d9backed PSG | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Real Madrid | 35c | 1,190$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.84 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…a32fbacked Real Madrid | 1c | 1,167$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed PSG | 61c | 1,155$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked PSG | 58c | 1,143$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.06 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Real Madrid | 23c | 1,139$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked PSG | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed PSG | 54c | 1,094$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.02 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Real Madrid | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Real Madrid | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed PSG | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…5ebdbacked PSG | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Real Madrid | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked PSG | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked PSG | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Real Madrid | 44c | 999.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed PSG | 54c | 999.93$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid | 23c | 965.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 261 | 44.4%116 W · 145 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…abb3backed PSG | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed PSG | 54c | 921.46$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.87 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked PSG | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…f0efbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 894.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed PSG | 54c | 851.2$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…c90dbacked PSG | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…fdc7backed PSG | 59c | 844.07$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Real Madrid | 24c | 819.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.