TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Anisimova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$871,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$793,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $871,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd16a…7691backed Anisimova14c148,483$20,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,843.241952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Anisimova22c104,824$22,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,601.1510845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Sabalenka69c39,275$27,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,244.973452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bde…8c91backed Anisimova11c35,278$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.9922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Anisimova37c25,159$9,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,312.411,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Sabalenka63c25,000$15,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,293.035950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Anisimova39c25,000$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,75022037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Sabalenka61c14,021$8,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,468.35545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Sabalenka65c12,697$8,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.891250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Anisimova38c10,964$4,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.179137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Sabalenka72c9,245$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.989130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Anisimova46c9,200$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,213.6514549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Sabalenka62c9,152$5,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.793458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Sabalenka64c9,063$5,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.8264455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Anisimova38c8,070$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.61822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Anisimova36c8,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8503935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Anisimova23c7,995$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.835822.4%13 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Anisimova6c7,952$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Anisimova19c7,224$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.734040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Anisimova36c6,032$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.521662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Anisimova23c4,602$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.833946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Anisimova3c4,450$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.53710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Anisimova35c3,800$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3302927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Anisimova32c3,385$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.145151%26 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Anisimova11c3,200$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Anisimova37c3,191$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.694940.1%381 W · 568 L+30.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Anisimova38c3,154$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.1813935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Anisimova35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Sabalenka64c2,937$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.3316140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Anisimova36c2,772$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9983339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Sabalenka63c2,686$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.2715957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Anisimova29c2,540$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.3422629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Anisimova39c2,374$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.7212737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sabalenka80c1,754$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.871,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582d…94b7backed Anisimova58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabalenka59c1,711$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.8122344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Sabalenka63c1,596$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.1311060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Sabalenka64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Sabalenka59c1,400$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Anisimova36c1,388$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.616921.7%15 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Anisimova36c1,379$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017754.8%97 W · 80 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Sabalenka64c1,343$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4114949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Anisimova15c1,297$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.073441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Anisimova39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d38…fc8ebacked Anisimova16c1,202$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa408…06ffbacked Sabalenka80c1,188$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf65backed Anisimova18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Sabalenka62c1,050$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-87.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Anisimova30c1,003$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Anisimova32c1,000$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Sabalenka61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Sabalenka64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3607147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Anisimova39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Anisimova1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Anisimova36c973$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.2847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Anisimova25c938.82$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.92634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Anisimova36c922.72$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1851142.9%219 W · 292 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Anisimova36c873.33$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.415439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6e…b0e0backed Anisimova36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Anisimova13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Anisimova27c704.67$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3632141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Anisimova36c694.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Anisimova36c663.56$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8811457.9%66 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Anisimova36c650$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Sabalenka65c644.57$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.610654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Anisimova36c641.42$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.91277.4%2 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-77%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Anisimova39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Sabalenka63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9229553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce37…7d93backed Sabalenka65c607.68$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Sabalenka66c567.01$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.013256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Sabalenka56c539.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9770857.5%407 W · 301 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9406…9071backed Anisimova29c518.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Anisimova9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454626.1%12 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…53e6backed Sabalenka66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Anisimova21c493.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc03…21eabacked Sabalenka63c475.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Anisimova11c469.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7913245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sabalenka78c433.96$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ea…60f4backed Sabalenka72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Sabalenka65c405$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.757655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab07…1e7bbacked Anisimova16c404.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.30per pick31cpaid+78.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Anisimova16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Anisimova9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362119%4 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+84%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Sabalenka64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1449741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Anisimova50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Sabalenka65c378.05$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3218957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ab…30dcbacked Anisimova36c350$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1197…40bfbacked Anisimova51c347.82$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.37944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…f2acbacked Sabalenka65c340$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ea…5590backed Anisimova19c333.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Sabalenka65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6921454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5aa…5912backed Sabalenka65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f47…1f3ebacked Sabalenka73c306.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Anisimova31c305.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.421450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Anisimova33c305.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8155143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Sabalenka67c304$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3213762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd716…5d25backed Anisimova37c293.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Sabalenka67c289.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.24348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Anisimova36c280.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9432348.3%156 W · 167 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Anisimova36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.