Tennis · resolved market
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab22ed1c683b52a8401ee0ae1fc4b9e6516e7256fd067c21b0af78150de5cee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 14c | 6,163$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.38 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 14c | 6,052$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.84 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 15c | 4,884$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 37c | 2,936$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.22 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…1208backed No | 25c | 2,344$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.72 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 42c | 1,943$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.97 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 1,719$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed No | 27c | 1,546$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 28c | 1,488$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.79 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 13c | 1,006$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 35c | 942.79$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.99 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 29c | 942.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 48c | 805.37$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.26 | 318 | 50.3%160 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 47c | 704.4$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Yes | 72c | 699.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked No | 78c | 513.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 31c | 507$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.83 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes | 43c | 500.38$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 78c | 345.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 59c | 316.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 288.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…f080backed No | 4c | 287.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 24c | 282.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 275.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 29c | 269.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 12c | 228.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…4faebacked Yes | 50c | 217.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 62c | 190$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 11c | 160.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Yes | 40c | 157.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 13c | 155$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 252 | 52.4%132 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…3a7dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 35c | 86.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…71bcbacked Yes | 29c | 86.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 50c | 82.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…f98fbacked Yes | 47c | 64.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 67c | 61.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 20c | 59.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 74c | 56.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed No | 22c | 55.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…152dbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Yes | 47c | 51.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d436backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 49c | 41.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1011…9ad7backed Yes | 57c | 26.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…d9afbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?this page
- Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
- Will Sorana Cirstea win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.