Tennis · resolved market
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fec3436b5747a173570ed51f780327aa5672be7c97f186766851bcce1771730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 15c | 6,517$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.25 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 15c | 2,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 14c | 2,227$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.46 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…15d7backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 15c | 1,005$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 15c | 995$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 15c | 990.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 19c | 919.23$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.28 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 16c | 770.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 16c | 749.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 15c | 655$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 639.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 345.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 15c | 313.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…1208backed Yes | 17c | 264.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 196.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed No | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…6bfcbacked Yes | 14c | 160.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3b06backed Yes | 15c | 148.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Yes | 17c | 102.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 78c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?this page
- Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?Yes won
- Will Sorana Cirstea win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.