Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Krejcikova vs. Navarro (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d9aac6338725c9c2a92945f14030abf6f26d7916ed25e88663ba22197b172e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navarroof Krejcikova , Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Navarro | 44c | 13,960$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,876.32 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Krejcikova | 43c | 8,130$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.94 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Krejcikova | 67c | 4,627$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Navarro | 62c | 4,035$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Krejcikova | 41c | 3,631$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.96 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Krejcikova | 44c | 2,287$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.4 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Navarro | 51c | 2,000$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Krejcikova | 65c | 1,765$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Krejcikova | 36c | 1,396$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.61 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Navarro | 64c | 1,125$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Navarro | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Krejcikova | 48c | 598.59$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Navarro | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Krejcikova | 34c | 480.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Krejcikova | 65c | 462.58$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Krejcikova | 59c | 430$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Krejcikova | 70c | 345.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…1709backed Navarro | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Krejcikova | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Krejcikova | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Navarro | 23c | 279.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Krejcikova | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Krejcikova | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Krejcikova | 30c | 263.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Krejcikova | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Krejcikova | 59c | 217.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Krejcikova | 55c | 209.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Krejcikova | 68c | 209.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Krejcikova | 9c | 206.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Krejcikova | 34c | 197.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…f4bcbacked Navarro | 46c | 193.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…dacfbacked Navarro | 59c | 192.44$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Navarro | 63c | 190.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Navarro | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…430cbacked Navarro | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navarro | 72c | 131$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Krejcikova | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Navarro | 64c | 113.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Krejcikova | 36c | 112$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Krejcikova | 46c | 108.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Krejcikova | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Navarro | 63c | 86.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…d662backed Navarro | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Navarro | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Navarro | 66c | 77.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Navarro | 33c | 75.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Navarro | 53c | 72.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…181cbacked Krejcikova | 23c | 63.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Krejcikova | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Krejcikova | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…8957backed Krejcikova | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Navarro | 35c | 33.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Krejcikova | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Krejcikova | 52c | 28.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Krejcikova | 76c | 24.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.