MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb19f4b63e3a7a23fc0bc04b0d697b1c9aa7c2055ed70bc77321ed41df490be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 519 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 44c | 365,515$162,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,172.46 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 127,500$70,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,907 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 60c | 54,956$33,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,921.77 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 55c | 40,000$22,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,850 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 55c | 38,575$21,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,358.75 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Blue Jays | 57c | 35,075$19,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,082.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 43c | 25,555$10,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,988.63 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 56c | 21,642$12,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,522.4 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 56c | 19,553$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,603.3 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 40c | 19,126$7,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560.51 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 17,053$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 15,219$8,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,754 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 57c | 14,035$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.09 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 42c | 12,383$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.76 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 8,600$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 43c | 6,587$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.55 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Pirates | 41c | 5,035$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Blue Jays | 56c | 5,000$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Blue Jays | 56c | 4,740$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.6 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 41c | 4,234$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.87 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Blue Jays | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 31c | 3,655$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.94 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Blue Jays | 59c | 3,604$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 3,513$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Blue Jays | 56c | 3,300$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 2,345$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.71 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 73c | 2,300$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,186$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.89 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Blue Jays | 63c | 2,035$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.49 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Blue Jays | 58c | 2,004$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.69 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…f52cbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,907$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Pirates | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…0704backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,888$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6b…b9febacked Pirates | 43c | 1,872$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…8644backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,858$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…4c6bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,851$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…a23dbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,814$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…cff0backed Pirates | 43c | 1,802$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…c3b4backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,798$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,714$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.94 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,453$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.79 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,367$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.81 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.97 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…550fbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,244$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…22f1backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,242$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…4b33backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,230$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Pirates | 9c | 1,223$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 43c | 1,171$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.68 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c66cbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,170$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…ce36backed Pirates | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…d210backed Pirates | 43c | 1,156$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…6b29backed Pirates | 43c | 1,116$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…aee1backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,009$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.78 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,001$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.56 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c47…45b6backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Blue Jays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…bd68backed Blue Jays | 58c | 997.93$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…2bbebacked Pirates | 43c | 997.67$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…d5f3backed Blue Jays | 57c | 965$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 41c | 922$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.02 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…263bbacked Pirates | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Pirates | 43c | 899.42$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Pirates | 2c | 809.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 42c | 800.07$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.1 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…2086backed Pirates | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…c8ecbacked Pirates | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Pirates | 22c | 745.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 43c | 697$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays | 57c | 670$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…4e13backed Blue Jays | 57c | 635$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays | 73c | 634.11$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…b568backed Pirates | 43c | 633$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…22c9backed Blue Jays | 57c | 632$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 41c | 616$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…09bdbacked Pirates | 43c | 609$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Blue Jays | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…66a1backed Pirates | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…41f2backed Pirates | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Pirates | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…7956backed Blue Jays | 57c | 579$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Blue Jays | 57c | 570$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…b41bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 537$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…c494backed Blue Jays | 57c | 531$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Blue Jays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Pirates | 27c | 518.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 506.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.17 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Pirates | 41c | 497.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 2c | 479.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 42c | 469.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 424.18$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 415$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Blue Jays | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 42c | 399.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.