NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9019c946f7528ffdcf65ed2c2d66e2293d3fad0d65ad78599e9f84aeb425f20a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Suns, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 51c | 18,942$9,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,660.42 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 49c | 18,385$9,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,373.82 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks | 49c | 3,433$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.51 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Suns | 34c | 2,518$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.99 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Suns | 51c | 1,263$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Suns | 20c | 759.11$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Suns | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hawks | 49c | 498.04$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Suns | 20c | 444$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Suns | 51c | 382.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Suns | 50c | 355.78$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Suns | 7c | 342.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…1b48backed Suns | 58c | 342.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Hawks | 41c | 317.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…fe56backed Hawks | 57c | 269.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Suns | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…4778backed Suns | 57c | 173.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Suns | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Suns | 36c | 151.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Hawks | 69c | 149.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Suns | 57c | 139.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Suns | 55c | 134.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Suns | 50c | 116.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Suns | 55c | 102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hawks | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Suns | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Suns | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Suns | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Suns | 51c | 91.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Suns | 51c | 77.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…0fdbbacked Suns | 54c | 75.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks | 42c | 74.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Suns | 51c | 64.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Suns | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Suns | 45c | 59.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Suns | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…961ebacked Suns | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Hawks | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Hawks | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Suns | 47c | 42.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Suns | 38c | 40.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Suns | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Suns | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Suns | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…7bafbacked Hawks | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Hawks | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d2febacked Suns | 51c | 36.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hawks | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d6…796dbacked Suns | 48c | 24.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Suns | 52c | 24.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.