MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e530df222c08a7ec197da90daa91386f13ee5f964776e5cf751be72281776a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $905,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $935,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 56c | 692,894$387,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387,252.58 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 44c | 351,527$154,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196,855.05 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics | 44c | 188,300$82,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,448 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 55c | 58,888$32,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,466.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Athletics | 45c | 50,000$22,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,750 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 52c | 29,541$15,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,293.77 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Athletics | 46c | 20,030$9,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.2 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Athletics | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Athletics | 46c | 17,818$8,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,621.52 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 48c | 17,755$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250.37 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Twins | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Athletics | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.38 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Twins | 32c | 9,383$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.19 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 57c | 6,928$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.96 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Athletics | 79c | 6,523$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Athletics | 52c | 6,169$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.23 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 44c | 4,887$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.11 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 44c | 4,754$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.31 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Athletics | 46c | 4,400$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.47 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 45c | 4,359$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 44c | 3,723$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.81 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 77c | 3,580$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.63 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Athletics | 47c | 3,189$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.38 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Athletics | 53c | 2,876$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.15 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Athletics | 46c | 2,489$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.9 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Twins | 56c | 2,362$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.9 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Athletics | 42c | 1,899$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.98 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Athletics | 45c | 1,850$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 34c | 1,742$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Athletics | 46c | 1,579$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.76 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Athletics | 46c | 1,398$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.65 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 71c | 1,218$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Athletics | 48c | 1,201$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.15 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Athletics | 46c | 1,173$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.32 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Athletics | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Twins | 25c | 1,005$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Twins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Athletics | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 52c | 985$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 44c | 955$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics | 50c | 955$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.04 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 48c | 900$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 38c | 824.91$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 63c | 733.84$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Athletics | 58c | 666.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.13 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Athletics | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 52c | 581.25$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.35 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 44c | 578.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.95 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 52c | 576$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Athletics | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 46c | 491.29$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 45c | 483.75$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.06 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Athletics | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Twins | 53c | 409.93$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Athletics | 49c | 408.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.71 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 72c | 369$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Athletics | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Athletics | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Twins | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Twins | 56c | 263.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Twins | 51c | 259.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…6dfabacked Athletics | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 44c | 227.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 43c | 225.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Twins | 64c | 200.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Athletics | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Athletics | 44c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Twins | 66c | 196.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 45c | 194.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Athletics | 41c | 168$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 46c | 165.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 53c | 164.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Athletics | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Athletics | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Twins | 52c | 124.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 47c | 118.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Athletics | 45c | 111.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Twins | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Twins | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Athletics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Athletics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Athletics | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Athletics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Athletics | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Athletics | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…516bbacked Twins | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.