MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a49c588dfc4a172a853af53916c02d6f47d0028438ea962077158268cf38d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $655,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Nationals | 37c | 234,555$86,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,009.75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 63c | 193,828$122,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,716.36 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Nationals | 37c | 175,000$64,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,750 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 65c | 56,871$36,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,001.32 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 63c | 33,800$21,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,506 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 64c | 26,589$16,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,608.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 64c | 17,727$11,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,464.22 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 64c | 17,451$11,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 63c | 13,000$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 62c | 7,601$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.74 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Phillies | 64c | 6,240$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.35 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 71c | 5,261$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.39 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Nationals | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 64c | 4,227$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 64c | 3,559$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.24 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 75c | 2,859$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.52 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Phillies | 55c | 2,631$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.45 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 38c | 2,456$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.69 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Nationals | 30c | 1,999$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.84 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 37c | 1,936$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.37 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 64c | 1,868$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.3 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Nationals | 36c | 1,702$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Phillies | 65c | 1,698$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.86 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Nationals | 20c | 1,442$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.44 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 5c | 1,250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Nationals | 10c | 1,121$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…2203backed Nationals | 1c | 1,051$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Nationals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Phillies | 60c | 954.39$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.21 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 64c | 929.52$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.3 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 58c | 909.48$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.15 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 1c | 880.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 37c | 810$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 38c | 764$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.32 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 64c | 656$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 12c | 634.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 10c | 620.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 24c | 614.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 44c | 608.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Phillies | 65c | 560$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 52.7%333 W · 299 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 38c | 513$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Nationals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Nationals | 9c | 485.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Phillies | 61c | 471.4$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 37c | 449.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Phillies | 64c | 407.16$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Phillies | 60c | 400.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Nationals | 39c | 396.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 41c | 383.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Nationals | 36c | 354.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 65c | 340.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 38c | 324.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Nationals | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Nationals | 17c | 299.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Phillies | 64c | 288.56$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 36c | 257.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 1,057 | 50.4%533 W · 524 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 40c | 247.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 66c | 245.3$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 26c | 240.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 37c | 232.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 1,091 | 46.3%505 W · 586 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Nationals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nationals | 5c | 216.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 62c | 174.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…9945backed Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1,400 | 55.1%772 W · 628 L | -29.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Phillies | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Phillies | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Nationals | 9c | 140.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Nationals | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Phillies | 65c | 138$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 37c | 119.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 23c | 116.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Nationals | 14c | 108.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Nationals | 30c | 100.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Phillies | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 63c | 81.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…a24cbacked Nationals | 40c | 72.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Phillies | 61c | 68.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Nationals | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Phillies | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Phillies | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Nationals | 33c | 59.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e776backed Phillies | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nationals | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.