TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Reds vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Redsof Reds, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$580,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$623,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Angels49c202,191$99,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,073.4217652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe785…e106backed Reds51c200,289$102,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,812.534854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Reds54c55,980$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,980.0428646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Reds52c38,405$19,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,434.364057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Angels48c35,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Angels48c30,067$14,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,432.2422852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Angels48c25,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels47c21,247$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.951,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Angels30c18,498$5,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,594.5354345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Angels25c16,004$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Reds52c14,493$7,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,956.8360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,76048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Angels41c10,611$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4006450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels47c10,393$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.681,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Reds52c9,167$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400.1626355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Angels48c7,019$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360.1873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels28c5,912$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.7721747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Reds78c5,519$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.4325454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels47c5,516$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.42,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Reds51c5,303$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.938751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Reds51c4,711$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels37c4,705$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.852,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Angels49c4,285$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.8426056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Angels44c4,210$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.711553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Angels26c3,389$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.1912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Reds70c3,304$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.1725551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds51c3,184$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Reds80c3,026$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.696845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Reds69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77545248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac90…1882backed Angels49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2252937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Angels49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2253943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Reds80c2,116$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.119356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Reds53c2,003$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.4933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Reds52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9705644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Reds75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Angels48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Angels49c1,959$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Angels49c1,893$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.57663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Reds51c1,880$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Reds74c1,792$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.787455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Angels31c1,538$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.6179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Reds51c1,437$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.0414444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Angels43c1,400$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.236538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Angels48c1,350$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6451,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Angels26c1,221$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9660052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Angels49c1,215$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2540152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Angels21c1,136$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1631547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds77c1,041$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0923060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Angels33c1,012$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.881,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Angels49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Angels26c992.77$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Reds52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Angels46c849.45$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1816947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Reds77c830.82$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Reds77c810.74$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.061,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Angels50c802$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Angels48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28814549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Reds52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.929354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Reds52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9263052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Angels45c552.2$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.997247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Reds54c515$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.96,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Angels49c513.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.466753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Reds51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Reds50c499.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5911051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Angels47c453.24$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0251347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels47c449.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.583248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels25c413.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.459,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Reds50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Reds53c331.87$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.989551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Reds62c320.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2634264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Angels48c304.93$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.371,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels49c299.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Angels51c295$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4517946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Reds52c283.56$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds49c274.11$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.611,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Reds73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9711257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Angels44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds63c269.41$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4116654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Reds70c265.59$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.599639.6%38 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Reds76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1617355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8305…bee1backed Reds80c262.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c49…a3cebacked Reds80c257.84$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Reds78c256.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels50c255.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.961,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Angels46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Angels48c232.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Reds52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7714649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Reds52c207.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6974356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Angels54c205.19$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.84337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Reds51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4540548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds65c203.66$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.284,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Angels25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Reds50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Reds73c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.32450%12 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Angels47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9432651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Reds51c195.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.591,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.