TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x562b…dc09backed Yes45c16,037$7,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,743.341225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No53c11,798$6,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,232.2112147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No54c8,853$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.7417852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes45c8,829$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,855.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No52c8,046$4,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,188.0236851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No55c6,409$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.6517853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f1…a19ebacked Yes46c6,062$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Yes45c5,711$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.753666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No55c5,555$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.2112536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No55c5,500$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeec4…e6a5backed No0c4,990$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No56c4,465$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.175858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed Yes49c4,264$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No54c4,232$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.2629136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c3,977$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.646955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes45c3,630$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.4420241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes75c2,732$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.3719453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes44c2,718$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.9912036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Yes45c2,444$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.447342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes43c2,200$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26221938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No55c2,079$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.668740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes51c2,040$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.62552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yes59c2,000$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.034062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No56c1,903$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.530754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes46c1,810$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.410931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes46c1,547$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.368638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes43c1,532$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.7438935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No54c1,491$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.7444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No36c1,370$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.185335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No55c1,352$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes44c1,232$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.5918160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe807…8922backed Yes45c1,222$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No55c1,110$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.59341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ff…9d75backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Yes46c1,050$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5671650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No55c1,037$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.3415442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed No52c909.05$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.555343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x141e…8c87backed Yes47c811$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.061181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes44c749.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.995764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c744.36$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.1746956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497f…fe58backed Yes44c673.59$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.591090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No54c604$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7138356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff7…c47fbacked Yes45c591.78$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.48825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5c…e309backed Yes46c471.93$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.563740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes45c466.86$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5218758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes45c443.16$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.741770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Yes46c431.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes45c406.48$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.484242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes65c361$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3524963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x61c0…21febacked No57c350.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No60c333.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.116447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes54c321$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8212862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes49c320$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+363.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes46c309.96$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked No55c308$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.742365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9641…ac5abacked Yes47c281.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No45c278.87$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7910736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes46c253.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.674858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcfb…d312backed Yes45c248.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.29728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Yes40c239.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No58c224.39$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.244647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+123.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…f1f8backed Yes53c221$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.321844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7471…ddedbacked Yes47c219.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b9…3e7ebacked No53c217.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.11241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3928639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No55c217$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.352857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc35b…337dbacked No42c216.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed Yes45c213.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.334344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6b…b084backed No56c205.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e99…cd61backed Yes45c182$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed No57c176$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.922528%7 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89d2…6031backed Yes51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+70%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…16d9backed Yes47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.941533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No54c147$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Yes43c138.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.713333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes45c132.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.376331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7216036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes44c128$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.689346.2%43 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Yes46c126.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.272425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a70…6ac0backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcdb…5958backed Yes46c110.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9764…3582backed No55c109.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa240…0c9fbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a2…4050backed Yes46c108.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27fd…1c82backed Yes46c107.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7516…c308backed Yes49c106.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…c699backed Yes45c106.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdc…a493backed No55c106.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…d48bbacked Yes45c106.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aac…1e5dbacked No56c106.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58f…5dc1backed No56c105.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x297a…f1fcbacked Yes47c105.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.