Champions League · resolved market
Will River Plate beat Inter Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf97a622a9a740ac8ff914f275fbeeca15671998e5be831c95cb04c7d85d69a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8130…5a82backed Yes | 25c | 16,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 75c | 12,103$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.67 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 76c | 10,174$7,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.78 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 4,150$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 78c | 3,228$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 3,055$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.18 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 76c | 1,577$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed No | 78c | 1,450$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 25c | 1,438$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 1,400$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 76c | 1,353$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 74c | 1,243$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.12 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 24c | 643$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.32 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 76c | 635.01$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 29c | 495.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…a40fbacked Yes | 25c | 429.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 25c | 410$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 25c | 394.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 76c | 391$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 387$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 74c | 386.73$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 24c | 235.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Yes | 24c | 233.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Yes | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 23c | 184.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 173$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 24c | 143.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 24c | 134.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Yes | 24c | 121.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…da07backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b93…6504backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 74c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 77c | 62.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…9b76backed Yes | 25c | 58.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 73c | 45.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff0f…9839backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…1acdbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…5eebbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 76c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…a823backed No | 77c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will River Plate beat Inter Milan?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan vs. River Plate end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.