Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Milan vs. River Plate end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb1d7475b5ecf938c36da92bed8d5be82653baa15a192910b42bea2b49b0027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 8,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.67 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 32c | 5,200$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.14 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 68c | 4,912$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.84 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,062$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.39 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a46…bdf4backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 8c | 1,860$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 1,756$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.22 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 11c | 1,225$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 33c | 825$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 33c | 768.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 10c | 664.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 63c | 648.49$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 32c | 640$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 576$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 32c | 422.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 32c | 400.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 31c | 325$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 8c | 231.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 28c | 217.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 9c | 214.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…633bbacked Yes | 36c | 179$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 69c | 172.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 34c | 158$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…9bb6backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 73.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 68c | 53.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 34c | 44.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 37c | 40.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 33c | 31.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…adb8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan vs. River Plate end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?Yes won
- Will River Plate beat Inter Milan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.