TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof White Sox, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$846,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$871,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $846,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox39c625,312$240,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240,781.6938043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Braves61c275,850$168,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,041.522852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Braves62c162,420$100,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,980.6738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed White Sox37c75,000$27,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,749.992373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Braves61c67,000$41,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,86055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Braves62c46,692$29,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,602.8723455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Braves63c37,500$23,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,87544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves61c21,349$13,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,229.4530255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Braves63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Braves61c19,866$12,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,747.7445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Braves63c17,571$11,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,484.491,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Braves62c17,463$10,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,635.9425453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox37c15,467$5,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,722.8860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves62c8,206$5,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.2763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves63c6,420$4,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.532,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed White Sox37c6,253$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.2533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Braves61c5,460$3,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.416352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Braves63c5,360$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.213065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves61c5,216$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.0873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Braves62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9007659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves63c4,876$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.0235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63d…9dd6backed White Sox36c4,489$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.142665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x29a8…be6ebacked White Sox38c3,600$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked White Sox38c3,555$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.948254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Braves64c3,333$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.883135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Braves61c3,300$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28711553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked White Sox36c3,013$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.531347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Braves62c2,972$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.0719742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Braves63c2,651$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.864955.1%27 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Braves74c2,303$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.2754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Braves62c1,829$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.352864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed White Sox38c1,733$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.635644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Braves63c1,667$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.6225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…cff0backed White Sox37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…4c6bbacked Braves63c1,586$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca22…96ecbacked Braves63c1,468$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea3b…d4c6backed White Sox37c1,432$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81c…9e5cbacked White Sox37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.87911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.41per pick52cpaid-76.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Braves63c1,293$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.5780955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d9…f7ffbacked White Sox37c1,270$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3df0…8963backed Braves63c1,267$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox37c1,263$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.3150843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b32…19d9backed Braves63c1,233$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x918e…3203backed White Sox37c1,230$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb111…03aebacked Braves63c1,135$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…04c1backed Braves63c1,121$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Braves64c1,111$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.229550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Braves62c1,078$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4811961.3%73 W · 46 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves65c1,003$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked Braves61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Braves62c999.97$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9915942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b7…e14bbacked Braves63c952$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked White Sox23c935.13$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.47247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox39c900.07$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x691d…2086backed White Sox37c900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46bd…f910backed White Sox37c900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked White Sox37c838$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0624547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42ad…9e0cbacked Braves63c832$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves66c814.52$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2321747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf29b…ec44backed White Sox37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x245c…aadabacked White Sox37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed White Sox38c789$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox38c789$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.821,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Braves80c769$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.868769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Braves61c745$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d7…278bbacked Braves63c683$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb669…ec01backed Braves63c679$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0744…6b29backed Braves63c668$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f4…98dabacked Braves63c648$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22242452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Braves73c581$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Braves63c568$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1626650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox37c560$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.244443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves64c529$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.441,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Braves78c502.54$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.21,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18522142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox37c489.6$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed White Sox36c427.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0714444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox26c415.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.244,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Braves73c410$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.766,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1483,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Braves67c398.46$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.499551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3c…2807backed White Sox38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Braves64c391.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.214748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Braves64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.534550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Braves61c307.01$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed White Sox36c299.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.121,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a9…8447backed White Sox37c299.24$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad48…0b10backed Braves64c299.22$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Braves60c275$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves65c263.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.419,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Braves63c263.49$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Braves61c239.9$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.569448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391e…5b83backed Braves63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Braves63c212.67$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6928053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Braves67c210.61$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.610459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Braves60c210.02$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0132651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Braves64c201$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.361,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.