Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Shelton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdeea442ea871d01a516e4d0ec356a4c1dafc97f1e7a72a47511a20a79337255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Shelton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Shelton | 44c | 45,293$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Zverev | 54c | 35,524$19,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,196.6 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Shelton | 41c | 10,675$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.93 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Zverev | 60c | 9,461$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.27 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Shelton | 40c | 8,614$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.53 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Zverev | 58c | 8,390$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.98 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Zverev | 72c | 3,508$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.84 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Zverev | 80c | 2,635$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Zverev | 61c | 1,765$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zverev | 59c | 1,712$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.74 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Zverev | 61c | 1,597$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.49 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Zverev | 60c | 1,144$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zverev | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Zverev | 61c | 991.69$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.76 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Shelton | 29c | 983.34$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Shelton | 26c | 776.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…d478backed Zverev | 78c | 703.31$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Zverev | 69c | 694.72$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Shelton | 40c | 680.86$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Shelton | 38c | 590.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Zverev | 62c | 564.58$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Zverev | 59c | 524.76$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…5599backed Shelton | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Zverev | 63c | 479.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Shelton | 39c | 384.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Zverev | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Shelton | 37c | 338.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Shelton | 32c | 335.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shelton | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…b1c2backed Zverev | 61c | 260.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Shelton | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Shelton | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Shelton | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Zverev | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Zverev | 61c | 175.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Zverev | 61c | 163.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Shelton | 40c | 161.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Zverev | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Zverev | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Zverev | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Shelton | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Zverev | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…b1febacked Zverev | 60c | 66.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Zverev | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Shelton | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…f7edbacked Zverev | 60c | 61.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Zverev | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Zverev | 52c | 26.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Zverev | 61c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe80…00ffbacked Zverev | 62c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.