MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9562c84712d8e646f7b93ecf23a486e62556654d69ce4149df7f514bfc437e3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Brewers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 55c | 36,528$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,527.95 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Reds | 51c | 28,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.96 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds | 16c | 23,808$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,991.11 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Brewers | 47c | 21,196$9,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,962 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 46c | 18,753$8,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,649.53 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Reds | 53c | 18,000$9,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,459.97 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 49c | 13,367$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.51 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Brewers | 62c | 10,381$6,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.54 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Brewers | 49c | 9,544$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.56 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 45c | 9,341$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers | 21c | 8,923$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Brewers | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Reds | 54c | 5,914$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.79 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Brewers | 44c | 5,268$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.82 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 52c | 4,570$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.56 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Brewers | 47c | 4,260$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Brewers | 44c | 4,000$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.34 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 46c | 3,950$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 48c | 3,537$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.7 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Brewers | 42c | 3,400$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.65 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Reds | 54c | 3,148$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 47c | 3,111$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 51c | 3,013$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.72 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers | 47c | 2,660$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 47c | 2,588$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.59 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 57c | 2,585$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 51c | 2,319$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.5 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 53c | 2,162$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.36 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Brewers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 47c | 1,998$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.13 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Reds | 53c | 1,926$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.3 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Brewers | 48c | 1,876$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.69 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 53c | 1,614$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.41 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 48c | 1,536$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.29 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 27c | 1,363$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.16 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 52c | 1,161$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Reds | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Brewers | 49c | 1,045$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.05 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Brewers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brewers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Reds | 49c | 895.93$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.92 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…19b7backed Brewers | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 46c | 800.89$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.44 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 49c | 799.94$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed Reds | 51c | 647.58$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 47c | 647.57$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Brewers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Reds | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Brewers | 34c | 592.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Brewers | 48c | 540$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Brewers | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Brewers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Reds | 50c | 493.4$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.7 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 70c | 470.23$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 32c | 470.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Brewers | 47c | 449.15$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Brewers | 45c | 441.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Brewers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 48c | 420.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Brewers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers | 50c | 414.94$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.47 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Brewers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Reds | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Brewers | 38c | 370.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 27c | 357$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers | 49c | 349.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Brewers | 52c | 329.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 49c | 309.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Brewers | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers | 48c | 296.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Reds | 68c | 293.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Reds | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Brewers | 50c | 278.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Brewers | 16c | 275$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…3003backed Reds | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Brewers | 49c | 258.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…790ebacked Brewers | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers | 47c | 253$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 48c | 241.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Brewers | 45c | 221.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…9945backed Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Brewers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Reds | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Brewers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Brewers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Reds | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.