NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4ef5b4eace71f00531039c92e36017125d6f8ced77a1d47902f5e59243bb1c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Grizzlies, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 33,980$13,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,109.39 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 61c | 22,552$13,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,709.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…6791backed Jazz | 71c | 9,995$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35a…6967backed Grizzlies | 29c | 9,995$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jazz | 57c | 9,563$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.63 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 5,384$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.25 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Jazz | 59c | 4,268$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Jazz | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…3b0bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,011$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…df5cbacked Jazz | 53c | 1,830$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…638cbacked Jazz | 53c | 1,691$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…ef25backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,510$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Grizzlies | 26c | 1,490$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f263backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,220$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…f32ebacked Jazz | 54c | 1,220$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Jazz | 62c | 1,151$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.41 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 1,135$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Grizzlies | 15c | 813.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Grizzlies | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Grizzlies | 40c | 600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Jazz | 58c | 423.63$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Grizzlies | 41c | 399.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Jazz | 60c | 335.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Jazz | 49c | 318.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Grizzlies | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…6a9ebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 299.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4e2abacked Jazz | 32c | 294.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Jazz | 59c | 259.15$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Jazz | 59c | 243.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Grizzlies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz | 62c | 219$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Jazz | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Grizzlies | 74c | 162.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Jazz | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Jazz | 40c | 122$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Jazz | 45c | 103.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Jazz | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Jazz | 36c | 91.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Grizzlies | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Jazz | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 42c | 74.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Jazz | 28c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Jazz | 61c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz | 53c | 54.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Jazz | 52c | 48.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Jazz | 53c | 44.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…f363backed Grizzlies | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 38.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Jazz | 60c | 33.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 30.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20af…efadbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…b6c1backed Grizzlies | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…6cdbbacked Jazz | 62c | 29.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…f524backed Jazz | 50c | 25.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Jazz | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Jazz | 64c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Jazz | 64c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Jazz | 65c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.