TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Rune

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rune of Tiafoe, Rune
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef4…412cbacked Tiafoe61c112,681$68,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,591.84436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rune 42c51,595$21,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,915.761,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rune 54c16,560$8,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,615.3439144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Rune 27c15,554$4,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,315.648052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Rune 34c8,400$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,543.929935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Rune 58c5,840$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.796376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Rune 50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Tiafoe45c4,588$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.0396035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rune 71c4,400$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28443042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tiafoe44c2,861$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.8576146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tiafoe42c2,732$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.291,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Rune 57c2,649$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.1211060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Tiafoe44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10026039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tiafoe20c2,498$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.281938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Rune 46c2,450$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.512134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Tiafoe30c2,025$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.9113253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Tiafoe9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Tiafoe13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Tiafoe46c1,957$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Rune 55c1,952$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.44860.4%29 W · 19 L+9.2wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+2,177.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Tiafoe23c1,840$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0932141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rune 55c1,833$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83348851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Rune 57c1,767$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.935100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tiafoe61c1,503$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.561,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Rune 56c1,459$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.083234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tiafoe50c1,385$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.2211652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Rune 57c1,312$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.2812253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tiafoe51c1,244$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.3410138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Rune 27c1,210$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.462152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Rune 54c1,010$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5515957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Rune 58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rune 54c956.56$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0262742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Rune 58c926.79$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.254151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Rune 56c921.15$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4625352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Rune 56c916.07$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.074843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Tiafoe44c830.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.645438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rune 63c700$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.91,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tiafoe45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31529636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Rune 52c685.47$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.152725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Rune 51c682.81$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.278453.6%45 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Rune 48c626.12$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.41275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Rune 44c600$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.512954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Rune 58c526.63$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.191,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a7…3e01backed Rune 55c511.86$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.852846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rune 55c480.6$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6317833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Rune 57c391.44$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4212737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Tiafoe24c363.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.387521.3%16 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Tiafoe46c337.47$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15536047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked Tiafoe45c335.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Tiafoe42c320.91$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc559…ac69backed Tiafoe53c307.58$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.63847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e70…19e8backed Tiafoe49c301.06$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.524942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Tiafoe64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19212552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Rune 56c235.71$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7138356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Rune 55c218.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+126%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tiafoe46c218.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Rune 51c197$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1317349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tiafoe45c187.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187f…69a8backed Rune 63c184.64$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Rune 58c184.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.438351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eac…e064backed Rune 57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked Tiafoe27c157.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Rune 35c147.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.716835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Tiafoe53c113$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5743948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Rune 33c98.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.768555.3%47 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Rune 56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Tiafoe50c86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4316445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Rune 58c78.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.84751.1%24 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Rune 38c74.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4675547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0d…786fbacked Rune 57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.12965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27db…5897backed Rune 79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Tiafoe36c60.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.877236.1%26 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Rune 35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1414940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed Rune 37c57.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ba4…7dedbacked Tiafoe45c55.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Tiafoe46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Rune 58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rune 67c45.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.252,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d04…7102backed Tiafoe46c41.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x798c…88d5backed Rune 57c38.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.681872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae90…c05fbacked Rune 58c37.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.622157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Rune 56c35.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d6…796dbacked Rune 56c33.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.571656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Tiafoe47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Rune 56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.210956.9%62 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Tiafoe47c28.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.312,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6187…f8a0backed Tiafoe58c23.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.