TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluminenseof Fluminense, Al Hilal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$465,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4167…2427backed Fluminense43c39,324$16,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,343.294738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Fluminense47c36,780$17,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,337.723666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11fc…dc48backed Al Hilal57c30,184$17,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,107.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Fluminense42c22,222$9,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,888.743863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf987…f3afbacked Al Hilal57c18,978$10,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,902.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Al Hilal52c18,601$9,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,739.676058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa56…f232backed Al Hilal47c16,624$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,800450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Al Hilal33c16,276$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434.432045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Fluminense44c15,824$6,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,888.3610040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Fluminense67c14,512$9,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,825.072740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Fluminense45c12,506$5,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,878.042040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Fluminense59c11,178$6,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.7410845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Al Hilal58c10,428$6,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,048.164766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Al Hilal56c10,050$5,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,62818758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Al Hilal65c9,086$5,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,934.446232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Al Hilal57c8,860$5,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,076.289159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbada…3fcbbacked Fluminense45c6,836$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb72…8b01backed Al Hilal49c4,620$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Fluminense44c4,581$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.5212956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb368…7566backed Al Hilal42c4,149$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Fluminense40c3,954$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.1836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Al Hilal53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.975939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4292…5b45backed Al Hilal44c2,316$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Al Hilal41c2,184$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.126950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Al Hilal60c2,037$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2184254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Fluminense44c1,938$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.152857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Al Hilal56c1,875$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05017658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Al Hilal11c1,709$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9913232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Al Hilal56c1,709$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.9440222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Al Hilal65c1,544$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Fluminense65c1,441$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.066552.3%34 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Al Hilal17c1,400$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2417136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3238…3291backed Al Hilal59c1,339$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.93650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Al Hilal57c1,225$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6954367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Fluminense43c1,162$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.962055%11 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Fluminense47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.838345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5597…e889backed Al Hilal55c1,020$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Fluminense47c1,009$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5355133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Fluminense45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Al Hilal20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Fluminense43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…9e88backed Al Hilal55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4200…72bdbacked Al Hilal56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d1…4e28backed Al Hilal57c999.99$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Fluminense42c910$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.25764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Fluminense79c770$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd32…33c4backed Fluminense45c768.11$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4541…b128backed Fluminense76c754.04$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.311560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Fluminense72c728.65$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3510137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e30…1072backed Al Hilal56c713.32$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Fluminense43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6722054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Al Hilal34c674.03$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7310931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2fa…055abacked Fluminense45c668.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Al Hilal55c652.44$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.844858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Fluminense50c648.36$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0624963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Al Hilal57c643.44$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.763633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd53…87c0backed Al Hilal55c581.82$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Al Hilal56c558.31$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.536858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Fluminense47c522.22$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2210543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Al Hilal34c505.31$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8116036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Al Hilal57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28513847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Fluminense45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27534449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785b…c51dbacked Al Hilal20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x062e…9747backed Fluminense43c499.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.99944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Al Hilal55c482.05$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.131866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Al Hilal54c465.26$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2413139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Al Hilal55c462.11$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.942540%10 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Al Hilal52c443.98$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.879540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…cd11backed Al Hilal57c431.21$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Al Hilal56c420$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aee…c284backed Fluminense44c420$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21cb…d3b1backed Fluminense45c409.21$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Fluminense60c403.67$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0310850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Fluminense42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2322623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Fluminense74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5037…51e9backed Fluminense45c392.49$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69a0…e5f6backed Al Hilal50c349.93$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd175…bb3abacked Al Hilal60c333.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Fluminense70c312.36$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.367100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Al Hilal56c306.27$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5124742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Al Hilal59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17711735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Al Hilal46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1376056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e6…2436backed Al Hilal55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Fluminense56c295.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.784866.7%32 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa357…6485backed Al Hilal54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Fluminense44c259.91$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Fluminense80c258.35$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.742842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Al Hilal58c258$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.643372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8f…fc0fbacked Fluminense44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Fluminense44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Fluminense46c222$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8813843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2962…9ce0backed Fluminense47c215.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a85…a309backed Fluminense73c210.78$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.91668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb018…8891backed Al Hilal37c206.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4320…4b02backed Fluminense44c205$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d33…8297backed Fluminense44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Al Hilal57c201.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.841770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Al Hilal56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Al Hilal54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Fluminense42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1163545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.