Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Cerundolo vs. Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300797e988b2341435ea6a21dce2cd357595f4ca6ad211d40f082f8b2ce45dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Cerundolo, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bublik | 72c | 34,915$25,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,675.15 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Cerundolo | 28c | 20,000$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cerundolo | 27c | 18,017$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.1 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Cerundolo | 33c | 14,969$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.95 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Bublik | 75c | 13,251$9,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.11 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Bublik | 65c | 6,052$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Cerundolo | 20c | 5,766$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Cerundolo | 23c | 3,837$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.47 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cerundolo | 25c | 3,597$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.42 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bublik | 75c | 2,631$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.7 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cerundolo | 3c | 2,573$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bublik | 75c | 2,124$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.25 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Cerundolo | 31c | 1,345$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.73 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bublik | 73c | 700$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cerundolo | 22c | 570$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ee…6198backed Cerundolo | 17c | 303.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc5…654fbacked Cerundolo | 28c | 288.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Bublik | 79c | 184.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Bublik | 80c | 180.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bublik | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bublik | 75c | 133.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Cerundolo | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Bublik | 78c | 128.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Bublik | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8099…2f05backed Bublik | 76c | 123$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Cerundolo | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Cerundolo | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cerundolo | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Bublik | 74c | 97.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Cerundolo | 26c | 91.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Bublik | 72c | 88.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bublik | 77c | 87.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo | 24c | 74.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Bublik | 69c | 72.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Bublik | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Bublik | 77c | 64.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cerundolo | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Bublik | 80c | 49.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Cerundolo | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Bublik | 77c | 34.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed Bublik | 74c | 34.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Bublik | 74c | 34.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Bublik | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Bublik | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.