MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e640c1943bdba7818f20bf742d53585c74f3be5ebb30535adb8de23842a425
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 53c | 12,897$6,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.02 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 47c | 5,550$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Red Sox | 68c | 4,118$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.64 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 63c | 3,165$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Red Sox | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nationals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 35c | 2,852$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 30c | 2,827$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 50c | 2,807$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Nationals | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Nationals | 48c | 2,140$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Nationals | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 50c | 1,611$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.39 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 47c | 1,398$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.18 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,327$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.92 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Red Sox | 72c | 1,058$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.53 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 49c | 840$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 2c | 833.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Red Sox | 49c | 771.33$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.38 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 50c | 716.23$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 65c | 656.8$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…3e67backed Nationals | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Nationals | 50c | 597.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 48c | 500.13$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 13c | 486.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 477.6$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 52c | 436.74$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals | 3c | 424.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Red Sox | 66c | 423.72$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Nationals | 33c | 420.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nationals | 50c | 407.69$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Nationals | 3c | 331.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Nationals | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 49c | 299.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 51c | 293.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 43c | 232.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Nationals | 43c | 221.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Nationals | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 49c | 195.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 50c | 152.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 68c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 59c | 120.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 48c | 111.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…8a3fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 109.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…a834backed Red Sox | 50c | 108.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…000fbacked Nationals | 52c | 105.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…1b5cbacked Nationals | 51c | 103.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 48c | 103.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…0084backed Nationals | 52c | 102.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…c783backed Red Sox | 50c | 102.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Nationals | 49c | 102.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…e133backed Nationals | 52c | 101.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…cc1dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 100.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Red Sox | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…c9c2backed Red Sox | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…412dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 99.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Red Sox | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 11c | 97.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…b1eebacked Red Sox | 56c | 95.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…c73fbacked Nationals | 52c | 95.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…c40ebacked Nationals | 52c | 95.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…bba7backed Nationals | 50c | 94.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…db8cbacked Nationals | 51c | 92.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…345fbacked Red Sox | 49c | 91.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…00c4backed Red Sox | 49c | 90.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…f0e0backed Red Sox | 51c | 90.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Red Sox | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Red Sox | 50c | 81.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Red Sox | 70c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Nationals | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Nationals | 51c | 51.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02a…7f6bbacked Nationals | 48c | 48.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Red Sox | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed Nationals | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 33c | 45.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed Red Sox | 52c | 45.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 44.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Nationals | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Nationals | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…ebc4backed Red Sox | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Red Sox | 68c | 36.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Nationals | 48c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Nationals | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7148…cdd8backed Red Sox | 50c | 27.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Nationals | 51c | 26.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Nationals | 49c | 26.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…aa2bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…b6c1backed Nationals | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.