MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93289d18784b7c22fb15931d97b0d30896d69a50063da65ae5bf2f1cb3402fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 12c | 68,323$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,923.14 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 49c | 6,595$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Rays | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 49c | 4,545$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.01 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Twins | 48c | 4,358$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.25 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rays | 51c | 3,420$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.31 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Twins | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 51c | 2,952$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.92 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 49c | 2,672$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Twins | 39c | 2,148$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.37 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 51c | 2,088$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.59 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Twins | 51c | 2,037$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rays | 38c | 2,026$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rays | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 56c | 1,929$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.39 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 52c | 1,855$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.64 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Twins | 51c | 1,800$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.13 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…0149backed Rays | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rays | 47c | 1,438$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.89 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…dca2backed Twins | 45c | 1,180$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…e826backed Rays | 55c | 1,180$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays | 43c | 1,062$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Twins | 50c | 972.64$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.32 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Rays | 51c | 943.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rays | 56c | 900.33$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.49 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 48c | 875.04$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.67 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Twins | 52c | 840$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Rays | 48c | 840$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rays | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Twins | 47c | 677.53$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.09 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Twins | 53c | 652.48$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Twins | 3c | 649.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.48 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 51c | 634.21$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.37 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Rays | 52c | 586.54$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 48c | 518$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Rays | 56c | 510.84$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.22 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rays | 39c | 507.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Rays | 50c | 495$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Rays | 54c | 449.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rays | 51c | 447.45$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.06 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rays | 51c | 443.14$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…3115backed Rays | 54c | 413.74$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Rays | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Rays | 47c | 384.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rays | 51c | 340.12$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rays | 51c | 294.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 51c | 290.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rays | 21c | 236.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rays | 57c | 230.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rays | 50c | 210.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 48c | 207.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Rays | 47c | 188$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Twins | 58c | 177.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Rays | 48c | 157$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Twins | 9c | 152.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Twins | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Twins | 41c | 146.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Rays | 49c | 137.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Twins | 52c | 128.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 60c | 128.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 47c | 126.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Twins | 62c | 120.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Twins | 66c | 118.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Rays | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Twins | 55c | 107.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rays | 56c | 106.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Twins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rays | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Twins | 51c | 89.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Rays | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Rays | 49c | 80.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Twins | 16c | 80.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rays | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Twins | 51c | 78.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…955cbacked Rays | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Rays | 52c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…4c1fbacked Twins | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rays | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Twins | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rays | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Rays | 50c | 51.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Rays | 51c | 50.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Twins | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Rays | 50c | 49.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…ebc4backed Rays | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Twins | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Rays | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.