Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0371dedb29bacce1949cda36d36a319ff69aa1796527bc2ccf3786ae0ec57221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $889,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked No | 65c | 76,833$50,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,616.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 1c | 31,876$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 55c | 21,959$11,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,982.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…8d07backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 1c | 19,553$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 23c | 18,075$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.54 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 38c | 13,878$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.18 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…e1a1backed No | 76c | 12,693$9,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 11,789$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…3f74backed Yes | 2c | 10,204$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611e…10ddbacked Yes | 51c | 10,160$5,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,215.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…6b76backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +306.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5e0fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +246.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…f5abbacked Yes | 35c | 9,210$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…bb03backed No | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf662…3e84backed Yes | 35c | 8,871$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 18c | 8,860$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…81a8backed No | 56c | 8,605$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 33c | 7,529$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 2c | 7,220$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 18c | 6,973$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 56c | 6,518$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…54cebacked Yes | 46c | 6,318$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…d803backed Yes | 57c | 5,982$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed Yes | 30c | 5,120$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…83f9backed No | 47c | 4,859$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…69fdbacked No | 52c | 4,697$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 21c | 4,685$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed Yes | 46c | 4,461$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.91 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,966$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 41c | 3,240$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 57c | 3,071$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed No | 55c | 3,036$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e03…8388backed Yes | 43c | 2,798$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…cd2dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,730$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,502$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.99 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Yes | 7c | 2,343$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 2,215$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.72 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…3c1bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,196$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,080$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.65 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,045$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.57 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,036$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…31a2backed No | 66c | 1,888$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 51c | 1,734$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…51e8backed Yes | 58c | 1,731$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 59c | 1,699$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.85 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa73…adabbacked No | 59c | 1,669$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…4925backed Yes | 42c | 1,642$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Yes | 36c | 1,581$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 62c | 1,410$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.97 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 1,388$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.65 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,300$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 16c | 1,279$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…9d1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,264$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 38c | 1,255$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 63c | 1,195$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 55c | 1,117$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…08d4backed Yes | 34c | 1,101$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…624cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,091$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 49c | 1,012$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 4c | 983$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed No | 52c | 958.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked No | 67c | 956.28$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Yes | 26c | 929.11$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 62c | 900$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.2 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Yes | 40c | 897.35$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…88e2backed Yes | 41c | 828.87$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 54c | 807$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.84 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…d0c5backed Yes | 19c | 799.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 64c | 720.13$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…b209backed Yes | 2c | 710$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed No | 65c | 673.01$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…d79cbacked Yes | 34c | 636.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed No | 56c | 627.27$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.27 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Yes | 48c | 617.19$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 40c | 601.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 29c | 581.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…8414backed No | 63c | 576.19$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 35c | 568.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…dcd0backed Yes | 49c | 567$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed No | 58c | 542.65$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Yes | 11c | 521.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…6a39backed No | 51c | 520.81$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…eae8backed Yes | 42c | 479.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed No | 57c | 453.68$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…5095backed No | 51c | 405$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed Yes | 28c | 405$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…be87backed Yes | 30c | 401.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…39c9backed No | 48c | 400$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?this page
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?Yes won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.