NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90520e20d4517ea3226ff332a558693426318b1d09df94940f9f45c0406513b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Thunder, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 56c | 5,063$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.1 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jazz | 60c | 3,387$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.53 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Thunder | 43c | 3,035$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.06 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Thunder | 39c | 2,011$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Thunder | 48c | 932.9$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.79 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa63a…9223backed Thunder | 46c | 903.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Thunder | 2c | 748.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Thunder | 48c | 688.9$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Jazz | 61c | 627$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Jazz | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Thunder | 44c | 454.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed Thunder | 48c | 417.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Jazz | 56c | 410$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Thunder | 4c | 402.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz | 57c | 402$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Thunder | 46c | 359.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Jazz | 55c | 333.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Thunder | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Jazz | 57c | 303.07$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Jazz | 64c | 298.69$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Thunder | 24c | 238.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Thunder | 8c | 225.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 47c | 213.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Jazz | 55c | 212.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Thunder | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Thunder | 47c | 149.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jazz | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Thunder | 39c | 131.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Thunder | 31c | 129$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb062…2811backed Jazz | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Thunder | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Jazz | 59c | 124.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…c46abacked Thunder | 42c | 123$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 53cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…03ffbacked Jazz | 58c | 123$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Thunder | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Jazz | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…93fdbacked Thunder | 38c | 113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…8235backed Jazz | 62c | 113$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Jazz | 54c | 108.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Thunder | 46c | 107.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Thunder | 48c | 104.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Thunder | 43c | 101.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…52fbbacked Jazz | 63c | 99.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Thunder | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Jazz | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Thunder | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…2bbdbacked Jazz | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Thunder | 48c | 62.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eed…1675backed Thunder | 45c | 62.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…6a9ebacked Thunder | 40c | 60.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…2a8ebacked Thunder | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Jazz | 55c | 56.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed Jazz | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…f363backed Jazz | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Thunder | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 44c | 45.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…1b48backed Thunder | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Jazz | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…9231backed Thunder | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Thunder | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Jazz | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked Thunder | 48c | 34.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Jazz | 63c | 34.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…969dbacked Thunder | 45c | 33.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Jazz | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Jazz | 60c | 30.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Jazz | 55c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…6701backed Thunder | 59c | 27.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cf…28d7backed Jazz | 59c | 25.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…5374backed Jazz | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Jazz | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Jazz | 64c | 23.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Jazz | 65c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.