TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marlinsof Brewers, Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7225…293abacked Brewers22c22,553$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins52c18,102$9,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6971,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Marlins71c14,238$10,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,063.0597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Brewers11c11,895$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.5517927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers60c9,573$5,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,724.291,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Marlins75c4,667$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6724154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers26c4,232$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.649,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc5…c0d7backed Brewers55c3,638$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Brewers56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Marlins44c2,910$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.8760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Marlins43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.9927953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Brewers16c2,171$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3369249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Brewers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14031346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers56c1,653$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9282,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Marlins62c1,595$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.61,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers37c1,497$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.5761346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers34c1,479$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8718837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers9c1,185$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.162,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Brewers48c1,137$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.0318748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers60c1,001$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60068656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Brewers52c1,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5151,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Marlins43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Marlins44c888.71$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.6893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Brewers56c880.06$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.239332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Marlins42c625.04$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Marlins52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28855653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Marlins53c531.72$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0123752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…cf94backed Brewers52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Marlins61c476.33$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.426,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers57c458$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.271,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins42c441$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9926847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins56c335.32$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Marlins45c311.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3817239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Marlins43c299.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.241,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins43c299.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Marlins48c295.74$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.691,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins44c291$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.962,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Brewers55c288.62$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.741471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins64c254.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Brewers5c232$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.68762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Marlins44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11254441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers46c199.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.674,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins77c178.73$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1168769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12bc…b36cbacked Brewers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Brewers17c178$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.134754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins72c176.68$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4723938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Brewers57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Brewers15c175.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.265944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Brewers36c168.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brewers56c167.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.695,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a38…e515backed Marlins62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Brewers57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9099951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Brewers47c151.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8370841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Brewers60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9041751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers51c148.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Marlins45c147.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2714949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Brewers57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Marlins54c133.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2539739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Brewers56c128$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6851955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5716…d9ebbacked Marlins44c124.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins57c124$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.322,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ba…2ec7backed Marlins44c116.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be7…4049backed Marlins43c115.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa15e…9a39backed Marlins44c114.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Marlins44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6457545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Brewers53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013447.8%64 W · 70 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf9…6503backed Marlins44c112.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brewers9c110$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9da…3eaabacked Marlins44c108.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Marlins43c108.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.16746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8093…6910backed Marlins44c106.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5792754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Brewers57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5734051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Marlins51c94.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.422540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41d7…ddb8backed Brewers58c94.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x824d…218dbacked Brewers57c93.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ca…4670backed Marlins45c92.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers56c92.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe845…9a61backed Brewers58c92.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f8…5436backed Brewers58c91.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c5…5937backed Brewers57c91.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8da2…50d2backed Brewers58c91.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f4…bc07backed Brewers57c90.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8538…1b79backed Brewers57c87.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…2efcbacked Brewers58c87.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcef…d740backed Brewers57c85.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ad…702abacked Marlins43c83.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9843…7665backed Marlins44c80.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7b…0f9fbacked Brewers58c78.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Brewers51c77.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Brewers56c76.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5127458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb904…a047backed Marlins44c70.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Brewers53c69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2379740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers45c66.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.