Middle East · resolved market
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe4ddfdf4e6b6188967331f5932c8ec6dcbc815572ef9f3566b5d903a708b61f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,623,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,705,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,623,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd262…8553backed No | 1c | 1,827,500$13,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,522.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Yes | 79c | 500,510$395,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,472.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…e73bbacked No | 1c | 499,299$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed No | 0c | 489,999$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…487dbacked No | 1c | 466,612$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 4c | 329,559$12,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,216.42 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked No | 1c | 327,614$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…5babbacked No | 0c | 296,971$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…fa02backed Yes | 73c | 253,670$184,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,228.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…ac7dbacked No | 1c | 231,757$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…f360backed No | 7c | 212,991$14,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,971.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…dd51backed No | 0c | 211,169$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…5442backed No | 23c | 208,083$47,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,244.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…d306backed No | 2c | 195,900$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…2349backed No | 4c | 171,576$6,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,571.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…4535backed No | 0c | 166,752$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 15c | 161,678$24,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,461.06 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 17c | 154,193$26,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,831.52 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed No | 1c | 129,990$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…cf13backed No | 1c | 123,936$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5e…b812backed No | 1c | 115,891$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…e42cbacked No | 3c | 115,193$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…4dd5backed No | 0c | 114,784$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed No | 9c | 114,107$10,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,071.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2c…40d2backed No | 1c | 112,266$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 16c | 110,763$18,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,021.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…898bbacked Yes | 53c | 110,527$59,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,457.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 16c | 108,994$17,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,758.09 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…02bdbacked No | 3c | 108,274$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 59c | 105,561$62,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,349.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 56c | 104,158$58,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,549.72 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 61c | 101,079$62,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,142.35 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…bb93backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 71c | 98,312$70,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,309.98 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…99d1backed No | 2c | 96,587$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afd…7e8dbacked No | 29c | 96,409$27,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,997.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked No | 3c | 95,257$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed Yes | 71c | 94,001$66,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,585.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…d3c7backed No | 4c | 93,908$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…fccdbacked No | 1c | 92,612$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 60c | 84,606$50,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,726.73 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed No | 0c | 80,429$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 48c | 79,460$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,459.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…2393backed No | 1c | 77,425$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…88c4backed No | 0c | 76,967$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…a893backed No | 21c | 74,855$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 80c | 72,916$58,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,722.74 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…39bcbacked No | 0c | 72,610$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 37c | 71,618$26,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,248.01 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…2038backed No | 1c | 71,051$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…08e4backed No | 4c | 70,886$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 1c | 69,802$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.09 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 58c | 69,413$40,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,281.09 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3364…73b9backed No | 3c | 69,301$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 62c | 68,495$42,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,889.36 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed No | 7c | 67,627$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…4974backed No | 2c | 66,266$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked No | 45c | 65,394$29,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,717.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…0cf9backed No | 4c | 63,745$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 0c | 63,687$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.01 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…64c0backed No | 12c | 61,616$7,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,434.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 42c | 60,506$25,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,173.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…8be2backed No | 50c | 58,619$29,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,405.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…cebebacked No | 0c | 56,455$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…ff69backed No | 23c | 55,222$12,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,457.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…65a5backed No | 47c | 54,371$25,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,292.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…2846backed No | 23c | 53,974$12,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,192.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5d…40ccbacked No | 2c | 53,143$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c8…bf7fbacked No | 0c | 53,088$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 12c | 52,231$6,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,177.76 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…4f1ebacked No | 2c | 51,610$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…566dbacked No | 2c | 50,513$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…d560backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…d274backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…bcbcbacked No | 8c | 49,923$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…bc82backed No | 0c | 49,375$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…859bbacked No | 1c | 49,131$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 55c | 48,499$26,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,972.71 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 2c | 46,089$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.38 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…1076backed No | 7c | 45,823$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked No | 72c | 45,325$32,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,447.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed No | 11c | 45,018$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…4e7abacked No | 0c | 44,914$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 75c | 43,959$32,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,095.53 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 66c | 43,574$28,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,952.55 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 47c | 43,533$20,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,203.47 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…6f43backed No | 0c | 42,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 78c | 41,867$32,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,048.57 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 80c | 40,699$32,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,170.15 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 64c | 40,185$25,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,627.13 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed No | 22c | 40,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed Yes | 66c | 39,847$26,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,482 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…480dbacked No | 0c | 39,765$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…760abacked Yes | 62c | 39,669$24,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,189.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…45a0backed No | 0c | 39,616$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…e908backed No | 1c | 38,853$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 4c | 38,327$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.7 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…95e6backed Yes | 79c | 38,241$30,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,091.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 8c | 37,425$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes | 49c | 36,700$18,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,596.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.