Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfc67752d05021b4d5792b59290f3e5cafa1af88c66777213ca0812e00d60840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jarry of Jarry , Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Tien | 44c | 10,574$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.44 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Jarry | 56c | 9,801$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.79 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Tien | 26c | 5,881$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Jarry | 56c | 3,473$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.59 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tien | 24c | 3,365$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.86 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Tien | 44c | 2,276$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jarry | 56c | 2,074$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.35 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Jarry | 68c | 1,948$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.31 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Jarry | 58c | 1,386$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tien | 42c | 1,260$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.33 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Tien | 38c | 1,241$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Tien | 45c | 1,116$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Tien | 43c | 1,070$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Jarry | 57c | 1,027$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.79 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jarry | 75c | 1,015$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.4 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Jarry | 56c | 1,013$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jarry | 58c | 1,000$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.38 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a496backed Tien | 46c | 950$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tien | 44c | 808.57$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.77 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Tien | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Tien | 41c | 723.78$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.44 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Jarry | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Jarry | 56c | 660$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Jarry | 75c | 590.27$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Tien | 36c | 525.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Jarry | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Tien | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Tien | 47c | 446.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.87 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Jarry | 58c | 425$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Jarry | 56c | 398.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Jarry | 57c | 350.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Jarry | 56c | 350.22$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Jarry | 59c | 345.32$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jarry | 55c | 281.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Jarry | 59c | 275.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Tien | 30c | 263.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Tien | 46c | 259.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Tien | 46c | 234.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tien | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tien | 45c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Jarry | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +234.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tien | 43c | 199.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Jarry | 59c | 196.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ed…f17dbacked Jarry | 55c | 177.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Tien | 46c | 161.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Jarry | 53c | 160.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Jarry | 55c | 136$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Tien | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Tien | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tien | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Jarry | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Jarry | 56c | 107.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Tien | 46c | 106.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Tien | 46c | 104.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Jarry | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Jarry | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Jarry | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Tien | 47c | 68.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Tien | 46c | 67.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…05b4backed Jarry | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Jarry | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Tien | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Tien | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Jarry | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Jarry | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Jarry | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0631…bc9cbacked Jarry | 59c | 32.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Tien | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Tien | 46c | 28.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Tien | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Tien | 46c | 25.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…9ff2backed Jarry | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Tien | 46c | 22.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.